NEC vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
NEC appears as the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 4th place with an impressive home record - 63% wins and only 13% losses. The hosts are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 2.88 goals per home game. PEC Zwolle has very poor results on the road - only 10% wins and a staggering 50% losses, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. The difference in offensive quality is huge: the hosts' xG (1.76) is nearly double that of the visitors (0.95), and the goal difference also favors NEC (+11 at home vs -13 PEC away). Possession statistics (53% vs 45%) and average shots (15.25 vs 8.2) further confirm the advantage of the hosts, who should comfortably win in front of their home crowd.
NEC vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC play PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
NEC: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 2.26 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.29 and concedes 2.09. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 82%, PEC Zwolle 68%. Over 2.5: NEC 74%, PEC Zwolle 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.12. NEC: 17.0 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 9.7.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.38. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
NEC: 76-90+ (18 goals). PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
NEC appears as the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 4th place with an impressive home record - 63% wins and only 13% losses. The hosts are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 2.88 goals per home game. PEC Zwolle has very poor results on the road - only 10% wins and a staggering 50% losses, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. The difference in offensive quality is huge: the hosts' xG (1.76) is nearly double that of the visitors (0.95), and the goal difference also favors NEC (+11 at home vs -13 PEC away). Possession statistics (53% vs 45%) and average shots (15.25 vs 8.2) further confirm the advantage of the hosts, who should comfortably win in front of their home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - NEC · 0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - NEC · 1.29 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
NEC is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - NEC · 2.09 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
NEC scores in 97% of matches (33 of 34 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
PEC Zwolle scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — NEC
Over / Under — PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - NEC · 1.24 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.82 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 61% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NEC 0 - 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished NEC 2:1 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs PEC Zwolle?
NEC score 2.26 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.29. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 82% of NEC's matches and 68% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are NEC and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs PEC Zwolle?
The statistical background for NEC vs PEC Zwolle — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.