Necaxa vs Atlas: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Necaxa vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Necaxa plays Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes.
Recent form
Necaxa has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Atlas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Necaxa scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 2.09. Atlas scores 1.55 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 91% of Necaxa's games and 73% of Atlas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 45%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Necaxa has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.38 per game. Necaxa takes 14.6 shots per game, while Atlas takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Necaxa leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Atlas leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Necaxa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Atlas, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlas is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.2 pts / game - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlas is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.55 goals / game - Atlas
Atlas is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.09 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.64 goals / game - Atlas
Necaxa scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).
Atlas scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.09 pts / game - Atlas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Necaxa
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.45 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Necaxa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Atlas. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Necaxa and Atlas play?
Necaxa face Atlas on October 17, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Atlas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 0, Atlas won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Atlas?
Necaxa score 1.36 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.55. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 91% of Necaxa's matches and 73% of Atlas's.
What form are Necaxa and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Atlas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Necaxa vs Atlas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.