Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a bet on a draw. Necaxa performs poorly in home matches with only 30% wins and 40% losses; however, their home goal difference is positive (+1), and their average xG (1.73) exceeds their actual output. Atlético San Luis away from home have identical win and loss percentages (45% each) but impress with their efficiency – averaging 1.73 goals per game with a 14% conversion rate and a 0% rate of matches without a goal scored. The recent form of both teams is similarly unstable – Necaxa averaging 0.8 points per match over their last five games, San Luis averaging 1.0 point. Considering the even xG statistics of both sides and their inconsistent form, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Necaxa played against Atlético San Luis in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Necaxa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Atlético San Luis has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Necaxa scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.81. Atlético San Luis scores 1.48 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Necaxa's games and 67% of Atlético San Luis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Necaxa has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.24 per game. Necaxa takes 15.8 shots per game, while Atlético San Luis takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Necaxa leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Atlético San Luis leads at halftime in 24% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Necaxa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Atlético San Luis, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a bet on a draw. Necaxa performs poorly in home matches with only 30% wins and 40% losses; however, their home goal difference is positive (+1), and their average xG (1.73) exceeds their actual output. Atlético San Luis away from home have identical win and loss percentages (45% each) but impress with their efficiency – averaging 1.73 goals per game with a 14% conversion rate and a 0% rate of matches without a goal scored. The recent form of both teams is similarly unstable – Necaxa averaging 0.8 points per match over their last five games, San Luis averaging 1.0 point. Considering the even xG statistics of both sides and their inconsistent form, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético San Luis is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.48 goals / game - Atlético San Luis
Atlético San Luis is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.81 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.67 goals / game - Atlético San Luis
Necaxa scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Atlético San Luis scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético San Luis is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.19 pts / game - Atlético San Luis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Necaxa
Atlético San Luis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.10 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Necaxa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético San Luis. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 4:1 Atlético San Luis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
Necaxa score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético San Luis 1.48. The Liga MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Necaxa's matches and 67% of Atlético San Luis's.
What form are Necaxa and Atlético San Luis in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético San Luis 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.