Mexico - Liga MXEstadio Victoria de AguascalientesData current as of October 29, 2026

Necaxa vs Puebla: match statistics

Necaxa crest
Necaxa
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Puebla crest
Puebla

Necaxa vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Necaxa played against Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Necaxa has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Puebla has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Necaxa scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.71. Puebla scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Necaxa's games and 67% of Puebla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Necaxa has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.49 per game. Necaxa takes 15.7 shots per game, while Puebla takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Necaxa leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Puebla leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Necaxa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Puebla, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga MX games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Necaxa hold a slight home advantage: they average 1.50 goals, create chances worth 1.85 xG and register 17 shots per match at home, compared with Puebla’s 1.25 goals, 1.57 xG and 14.5 shots away from home. The hosts also average 59% possession and have failed to score in none of their home matches, while Puebla have been held scoreless in 25% of their away games. However, both defenses leave room for chances: Necaxa concede 1.75 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Puebla allow opponents 1.90 xG away from home. The last five matches offer no clear form signal, with Necaxa taking 5 points and Puebla 6, although the visitors conceded as many as 12 goals during that period. With both sides showing a similar 9% conversion rate, Necaxa’s more consistent chance creation in front of their home supporters points to a narrow victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Necaxa has recorded BTTS in 100% of its league matches and in each of its last 5 fixtures, while failing to keep a single clean sheet. Puebla has registered BTTS in 50% of its matches this season, but that figure has risen to 60% across its last 5 games, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and as many as 2.4 conceded. Both teams create enough chances: Necaxa’s average xG over its last five matches stands at 1.70, while Puebla’s is 1.65; meanwhile, their defenses allow 1.87 and 1.56 xG respectively. The hosts average 2.0 goals per game this season, while Puebla averages 5.0 shots on target per match, the same as Necaxa. The 25% clean-sheet rate for Puebla is a risk to the pick, but the visitors’ poor recent defensive form and Necaxa’s consistent goals conceded more strongly support the BTTS - Yes scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Necaxa have failed to keep a clean sheet in any league match, while Puebla concede an average of 1.50 goals per game, which supports the case for a home goal. Puebla generate an average of 1.57 xG, while Necaxa’s defense allows 1.64 xG, giving the visitors solid grounds to score as well. Over the last five matches, the two teams have averaged a combined 3.6 goals per game, with Puebla conceding as many as 2.4 goals per match during this period. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of Necaxa’s matches and 75% of Puebla’s, with both teams averaging 5 shots on target. The Over 1.5 line is therefore the strongest data-backed option, even though the 2.5-goal threshold also remains clearly attainable.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Puebla has the clearer case for making the stronger start: across their last five matches, they have averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for Necaxa. The hosts were trailing at the break in 60% of those games and never led, while Puebla were ahead after 45 minutes in 20% of their matches. The visitors also create more chances, averaging 14.5 shots compared with Necaxa’s 12, while their xG stands at 1.57 versus 1.32 for the hosts. Although Puebla have recently conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match, Necaxa have also allowed opponents an average of 1.6 goals, making a scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and maintain their advantage until full-time the most likely HT/FT outcome, although it is not overwhelmingly dominant.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
NecaxaPuebla
9Shots12
NecaxaPuebla
2Shots on target4
NecaxaPuebla
1.03xG1.35
NecaxaPuebla
8Corners5
NecaxaPuebla
44Dangerous attacks42
NecaxaPuebla
11Fouls12
NecaxaPuebla
1Cards3
NecaxaPuebla

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.29Goals scored / game1.5
NecaxaPuebla
1.71Goals allowed / game1.5
NecaxaPuebla
51%Average possession39%
NecaxaPuebla
5.14Shots on target / game5
NecaxaPuebla

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.71Shots per game13.67
NecaxaPuebla
5.14Shots on target5
NecaxaPuebla
8.2%Shot conversion11%
NecaxaPuebla
51%Possession39%
NecaxaPuebla
1.65xG for1.49
NecaxaPuebla
1.9xG against1.81
NecaxaPuebla

Shooting quality

Necaxa: AttackingPuebla: Balanced
NecaxaPuebla
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Puebla is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.4 pts / game - Puebla

Necaxa
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 2.28BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Puebla
LDWWL
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Puebla is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.5 goals / game - Puebla

Puebla is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.71 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.5 goals / game - Puebla

Necaxa scoring profile: very strong

Necaxa scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

Puebla scoring profile: very strong

Puebla scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

9Goals scored (season)9
NecaxaPuebla
12Goals conceded (season)9
NecaxaPuebla
3Average goals per game3
NecaxaPuebla
5Goals scored (last 5)8
NecaxaPuebla
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
NecaxaPuebla

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
NecaxaPuebla
29%2 goals33%
NecaxaPuebla
0%3 goals33%
NecaxaPuebla
0%4 goals0%
NecaxaPuebla

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal83%
NecaxaPuebla
43%2 goals67%
NecaxaPuebla
29%3 goals0%
NecaxaPuebla
0%4 goals0%
NecaxaPuebla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time50%
NecaxaPuebla
0%BTTS in both halves33%
NecaxaPuebla
0%Scored in both halves33%
NecaxaPuebla

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
NecaxaPuebla
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NecaxaPuebla
100%BTTS - last 580%
NecaxaPuebla

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NecaxaPuebla
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
NecaxaPuebla
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
NecaxaPuebla

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
NecaxaPuebla
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
NecaxaPuebla
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
NecaxaPuebla

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Puebla is 221% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.57 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.83 pts / game - Puebla

Necaxa - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Puebla - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per game (1st half)1.83
NecaxaPuebla
0.29Goals scored (1st half)1
NecaxaPuebla
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
NecaxaPuebla
1Average goals (1st half)1.67
NecaxaPuebla
43%Clean sheet before half-time33%
NecaxaPuebla
71%No goal before half-time17%
NecaxaPuebla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)0.83
NecaxaPuebla
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
NecaxaPuebla
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
NecaxaPuebla
2Average goals (2nd half)1.33
NecaxaPuebla
14%Clean sheet after half-time17%
NecaxaPuebla
29%No goal after half-time67%
NecaxaPuebla

Necaxa - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Puebla - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Necaxa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.400.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Puebla - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Necaxa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Puebla
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-83%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Necaxa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Puebla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

NecaxaLigaPuebla
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.82▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 100%58%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%53%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%24%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%67%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 86%87%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.82
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Necaxa's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Puebla. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Puebla FC
0 : 0
Club Necaxa
Club Necaxa
1 : 0
Puebla FC

FAQ

What was the result of Necaxa vs Puebla?

The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 0:1 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Puebla?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 1, Puebla won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Puebla?

Necaxa score 1.29 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.50. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Necaxa's matches and 67% of Puebla's.

What form are Necaxa and Puebla in?

Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Puebla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Puebla?

The statistical background for Necaxa vs Puebla — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.