Necaxa vs Toluca: match statistics
Toluca is displaying significantly superior form and statistics this season. The visitors have notched 17 wins with only 4 defeats, whereas Necaxa has just 7 victories and as many as 11 losses. In away fixtures, Toluca boasts a 50% win rate and an identical clean sheet percentage, underscoring a robust defense (averaging 0.64 goals conceded per match). Recent form over the last 5 games also favors the away side – Toluca averages 1.8 points per game with a WDDDW sequence, compared to Necaxa's mere 1.2 points and an LLLWW run. Toluca's positive goal difference (+10 on the road) versus Necaxa's (+4 at home), coupled with a higher xG figure, solidifies the visitors' edge. Necaxa's difficulties in maintaining clean sheets (only 9% CS%) could prove decisive against Toluca's efficiency.
Necaxa vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Necaxa played against Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Necaxa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Toluca has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Necaxa scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.74. Toluca scores 1.93 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Necaxa's games and 52% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.58 per game. Necaxa takes 15.3 shots per game, while Toluca takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Necaxa leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Necaxa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 46-60 (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca is displaying significantly superior form and statistics this season. The visitors have notched 17 wins with only 4 defeats, whereas Necaxa has just 7 victories and as many as 11 losses. In away fixtures, Toluca boasts a 50% win rate and an identical clean sheet percentage, underscoring a robust defense (averaging 0.64 goals conceded per match). Recent form over the last 5 games also favors the away side – Toluca averages 1.8 points per game with a WDDDW sequence, compared to Necaxa's mere 1.2 points and an LLLWW run. Toluca's positive goal difference (+10 on the road) versus Necaxa's (+4 at home), coupled with a higher xG figure, solidifies the visitors' edge. Necaxa's difficulties in maintaining clean sheets (only 9% CS%) could prove decisive against Toluca's efficiency.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.8 pts / game - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Necaxa · 1.93 goals / game - Toluca
Toluca is 93% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Necaxa · 0.9 goals / game - Toluca
Necaxa scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 meczów).
Toluca scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / game - Necaxa · 1.69 pts / game - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Necaxa
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Necaxa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toluca. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 0:3 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Toluca?
Necaxa score 1.43 goals per game on average and Toluca 1.93. The Liga MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Necaxa's matches and 52% of Toluca's.
What form are Necaxa and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Toluca 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Toluca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Necaxa vs Toluca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.