Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Neftchi are showcasing impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches) and no goals conceded at home, confirming their defensive solidity. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (59%) and generate a high xG (1.95), indicating the quality of chances created. Lokomotiv, despite a solid away form (100% win rate), have played only one match on the road so far, which limits the reliability of their statistics. The difference in average shots (18 vs 11) and Neftchi's higher chance conversion rate favor the hosts. Considering Neftchi's superior form over the last 5 matches (2.4 PTS/match vs 1.6 PTS/match) and their unbeaten record at home, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Lokomotiv could put up a fight, hence a draw is a non-negligible probability.
Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftchi played against Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Neftchi has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Lokomotiv has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftchi scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 0.00. Lokomotiv scores 1.67 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Neftchi's games and 33% of Lokomotiv's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 33%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftchi has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.38 per game. Neftchi takes 17.3 shots per game, while Lokomotiv takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftchi leads at halftime in 100% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiv leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftchi's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Lokomotiv, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi are showcasing impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches) and no goals conceded at home, confirming their defensive solidity. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (59%) and generate a high xG (1.95), indicating the quality of chances created. Lokomotiv, despite a solid away form (100% win rate), have played only one match on the road so far, which limits the reliability of their statistics. The difference in average shots (18 vs 11) and Neftchi's higher chance conversion rate favor the hosts. Considering Neftchi's superior form over the last 5 matches (2.4 PTS/match vs 1.6 PTS/match) and their unbeaten record at home, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Lokomotiv could put up a fight, hence a draw is a non-negligible probability.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftchi is 29% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Neftchi · 2.33 pts / game - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 80% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Neftchi · 1.67 goals / game - Lokomotiv
Neftchi scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
Lokomotiv scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / game - Neftchi · 2.33 pts / game - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftchi
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 34% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 3:1 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
Neftchi score 3.00 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.67. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Neftchi's matches and 33% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Neftchi and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.