Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: match statistics
Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftchi played against Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on April 9, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Neftchi has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Pakhtakor has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftchi scores 3.20 goals per game and allows 0.20. Pakhtakor scores 2.20 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Neftchi's games and 60% of Pakhtakor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 60%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftchi has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.65 per game. Neftchi takes 15.2 shots per game, while Pakhtakor takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftchi leads at halftime in 80% of its games and scores 1.80 goals per game after halftime. Pakhtakor leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftchi's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Pakhtakor, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi is the clear favorite: at home they have a perfect record (5/5), scored 16 goals this season with 14 of them in the last 5 matches, while conceding only 1 goal in that span. Hosts average 3.0 goals per home game and concede just 0.33 goals per home match, whereas Pakhtakor away averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match and has shipped 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures. Neftchi has higher home xG (xG 1.70) versus the visitors' away xG (1.49), also registering more shots (15 vs 13) and more shots on target (5.33 vs 5.0), indicating superior chance creation. The hosts' defensive solidity is underlined by 67% of home games with a clean sheet compared to 0% clean sheets for Pakhtakor away, and Neftchi have conceded only 1 goal this season, which greatly reduces the visitors' prospects. With 3 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Pakhtakor's 1.8 and an edge in xG and defense, I predict a home win; a draw or away victory are less likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Pakhtakor averages 3.0 goals per match and has a season BTTS rate of 100%, while Neftchi at home scores 1.67 and concedes 1.0 per match, seasonally indicating both sides are likely to score. xG highlights parity in chances: Neftchi has xG_for 1.77 versus Pakhtakor’s xG_against 1.27, and Pakhtakor has xG_for 1.49 versus Neftchi’s xG_against 1.12, meaning both teams generate genuine goalscoring opportunities. Additionally, Pakhtakor’s shot conversion is 23% compared to Neftchi’s 11% and they have recorded no clean sheets away (0% clean sheets), whereas Neftchi in the last 5 matches averages 2.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, showing good home form but not negating the BTTS case. Considering Pakhtakor’s 100% BTTS, seasonal goal averages 3.0 vs 1.67, xG above 1 for both and higher 23% conversion, I project BTTS = Yes at around 80% (BTTS = No 20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.52 xG for Neftchi (averaging attack xG 1.77 and xG conceded to Pakhtakor 1.27) and 1.30 xG for Pakhtakor (attack xG 1.49 and xG conceded to Neftchi 1.12), totaling 2.82 expected goals. Both teams have a season rate of matches over 1.5 goals equal to 100% (home 100%, away 100%), therefore Over 1.5 is the strongest and most reliable signal. Over 2.5 also has solid grounds: in the last 5 matches Neftchi had 80% of games over 2.5, Pakhtakor 60%, and the combined xG 2.82 supports a probability above 50% (I estimate 68% for Over 2.5). Over 3.5 is less likely since the expected 2.82 goals is clearly below 3.5, and season Over3.5 is only 33% for the home team and 50% for the away team (hence an assessment of ~28%). Additionally, Pakhtakor’s high conversion rate of 23% with an average of 13 shots, together with Neftchi’s 14.67 shots and 5.67 shots on target, confirm both teams’ ability to score, which reinforces Over 1.5 as the recommended pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Neftchi held a lead at the break in 4 of them (80%), scoring an average of 1.2 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.2. Pakhtakor, away from home, scores an average of 3.0 goals per match and has a 100% away win rate, with a shot conversion rate of 23% compared to the hosts' 11%. Crucially, Pakhtakor averages 2.5 goals after the break and has 4 goals in the 46–60 minute interval, whereas Neftchi concedes an average of 1.0 goal in the second half. Therefore the strongest signal is Neftchi leading at half-time with a subsequent turnaround by Pakhtakor and an away win (scenario 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftchi is 25% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Neftchi · 2.4 pts / game - Pakhtakor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
3.2 goals / game - Neftchi · 2.2 goals / game - Pakhtakor
Neftchi is 500% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.2 goals / game - Neftchi · 1.2 goals / game - Pakhtakor
Neftchi scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Pakhtakor scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.6 pts / game - Neftchi · 1.4 pts / game - Pakhtakor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftchi
Pakhtakor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 2.43 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 80% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Neftchi's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Pakhtakor. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 0:1 Pakhtakor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Pakhtakor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 0, Pakhtakor won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
Neftchi score 3.20 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 2.20. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Neftchi's matches and 60% of Pakhtakor's.
What form are Neftchi and Pakhtakor in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Pakhtakor 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Pakhtakor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.