Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueStadion IstiqlolData current as of September 06, 2026

Neftchi vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Neftchi vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Neftchi plays Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game is scheduled for September 9, 2026. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol.

Recent form

Neftchi has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Termez Surkhon has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Neftchi scores 2.35 goals per game and allows 0.80. Termez Surkhon scores 0.85 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 35% of Neftchi's games and 45% of Termez Surkhon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 40%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Neftchi has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.26 per game. Neftchi takes 15.9 shots per game, while Termez Surkhon takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Neftchi leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.40 goals per game after halftime. Termez Surkhon leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Neftchi's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Termez Surkhon, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

NeftchiTermez Surkhon
2.35Goals scored / game0.85
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
0.8Goals allowed / game1.3
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
58%Average possession56%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
6.5Shots on target / game3.15
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.95Shots per game11.1
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
6.5Shots on target3.15
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
14.7%Shot conversion7.7%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
58%Possession56%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
1.88xG for1.26
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
1.22xG against1.44
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

Shooting quality

Neftchi: DominantTermez Surkhon: Balanced
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
Accuracy (shots on target)41%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Neftchi is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Neftchi · 1 pts / game - Termez Surkhon

Neftchi
WWLWL
Season result split
70% W15% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-3
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Termez Surkhon
LLDDW
Season result split
30% W25% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-9
1.15 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftchi is 176% better for: goals scored per game.

2.35 goals / game - Neftchi · 0.85 goals / game - Termez Surkhon

Neftchi is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Neftchi · 1.3 goals / game - Termez Surkhon

Neftchi scoring profile: very strong

Neftchi scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).

Termez Surkhon scoring profile: mixed

Termez Surkhon scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 meczów).

47Goals scored (season)17
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
16Goals conceded (season)26
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
3.15Average goals per game2.15
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
14Goals scored (last 5)2
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal60%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
70%2 goals20%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
50%3 goals5%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
20%4 goals0%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal70%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
10%2 goals30%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
10%3 goals20%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
10%4 goals5%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time5%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
55%Scored in both halves0%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
40%BTTS - last 520%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftchi is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - Neftchi · 0.9 pts / game - Termez Surkhon

Neftchi - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing
Termez Surkhon - half-time state
15% leading45% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)0.9
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
0.95Goals scored (1st half)0.25
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.75
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
60%Clean sheet before half-time55%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
35%No goal before half-time85%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

After half-time (2nd half)

2.35Points per game (2nd half)1.25
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.4
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
90%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon
25%No goal after half-time55%
NeftchiTermez Surkhon

Neftchi - second-half results

70% W25% R5% P
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+23
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Termez Surkhon - second-half results

30% W35% R35% P
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Neftchi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.82.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.83.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Termez Surkhon - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Neftchi
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
4
31-45
11
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Termez Surkhon
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Neftchi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
162%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Termez Surkhon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

NeftchiLigaTermez Surkhon
Average goals per game 3.152.64 2.15
Both teams scored 35%54% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%51% 40%
Clean sheets 60%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 85%68% 55%
Goal after half-time 80%76% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Neftchi's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Termez Surkhon. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Termez Surkhon
0 : 3
Neftchi
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona

FAQ

When do Neftchi and Termez Surkhon play?

Neftchi face Termez Surkhon on September 9, 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Stadion Istiqlol. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Termez Surkhon?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 2, Termez Surkhon won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Termez Surkhon?

Neftchi score 2.35 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 0.85. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Neftchi's matches and 45% of Termez Surkhon's.

What form are Neftchi and Termez Surkhon in?

Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Termez Surkhon?

The statistical background for Neftchi vs Termez Surkhon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.