Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Neftçi are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Mil Mugan FK have only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and have failed to score any goals in that period. The hosts dominate offensive statistics with an average of 1.18 goals per home match and a high xG of 1.81, which, combined with 60% possession, gives them a clear advantage. Mil Mugan FK have poor away efficiency (58% of matches without scoring) and a low xG of 0.92, confirming their struggles in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Neftçi's high percentage of home draws (55%) and the visitors' solid defense (50% clean sheets away) suggest the match could be tight, but the hosts' qualitative superiority and form point towards their victory. The goal difference and overall disposition of both teams indicate a moderate, yet realistic victory for Neftçi.
Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftçi played against Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 6:0.
Recent form
Neftçi has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Mil Mugan FK has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftçi scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 0.96. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.75 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Neftçi's games and 25% of Mil Mugan FK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 33%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 0.89 per game. Neftçi takes 13.1 shots per game, while Mil Mugan FK takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftçi leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftçi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Mil Mugan FK, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Mil Mugan FK have only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and have failed to score any goals in that period. The hosts dominate offensive statistics with an average of 1.18 goals per home match and a high xG of 1.81, which, combined with 60% possession, gives them a clear advantage. Mil Mugan FK have poor away efficiency (58% of matches without scoring) and a low xG of 0.92, confirming their struggles in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Neftçi's high percentage of home draws (55%) and the visitors' solid defense (50% clean sheets away) suggest the match could be tight, but the hosts' qualitative superiority and form point towards their victory. The goal difference and overall disposition of both teams indicate a moderate, yet realistic victory for Neftçi.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Neftçi · 0.6 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 91% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Neftçi · 0.75 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK
Neftçi is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Neftçi · 1.17 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK
Neftçi scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 meczów).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 42% of games (10 of 24 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Neftçi · 1.04 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftçi
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.39 | 2.50 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 33% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Neftçi's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mil Mugan FK. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 6:0 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Mil Mugan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 0, Mil Mugan FK won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK?
Neftçi score 1.43 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.75. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Neftçi's matches and 25% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are Neftçi and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK?
The statistical background for Neftçi vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.