Neftçi vs Qabala: match statistics
Neftçi presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, with a goal difference of +2 and only 22% losses on their own turf. The hosts record an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, and their xG (1.76) exceeds xGA (0.89), confirming offensive and defensive solidity. Qabala, meanwhile, has abysmal away form – 67% losses, a negative goal difference (-3), only 11% wins, and 56% of matches without scoring a goal away. The visitors' average xG away (1.03) is significantly lower than xGA (1.48), indicating problems in both attack and defense. Taking all these factors into account, Neftçi has a clear advantage, although their high percentage of home draws (67%) suggests caution when predicting a certain victory.
Neftçi vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftçi played against Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on February 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Neftçi has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Qabala has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftçi scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.94. Qabala scores 1.06 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Neftçi's games and 41% of Qabala's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 47%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.14 per game. Neftçi takes 12.4 shots per game, while Qabala takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftçi leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Qabala leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftçi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Qabala, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, with a goal difference of +2 and only 22% losses on their own turf. The hosts record an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, and their xG (1.76) exceeds xGA (0.89), confirming offensive and defensive solidity. Qabala, meanwhile, has abysmal away form – 67% losses, a negative goal difference (-3), only 11% wins, and 56% of matches without scoring a goal away. The visitors' average xG away (1.03) is significantly lower than xGA (1.48), indicating problems in both attack and defense. Taking all these factors into account, Neftçi has a clear advantage, although their high percentage of home draws (67%) suggests caution when predicting a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qabala is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Neftçi · 1.8 pts / game - Qabala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Neftçi · 1.06 goals / game - Qabala
Neftçi is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - Neftçi · 1.35 goals / game - Qabala
Neftçi scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
Qabala scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftçi
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.28 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Neftçi's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Qabala. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 1:0 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Qabala?
Neftçi score 1.33 goals per game on average and Qabala 1.06. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Neftçi's matches and 41% of Qabala's.
What form are Neftçi and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Qabala 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Qabala?
The statistical background for Neftçi vs Qabala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.