Neftçi vs Safa: match statistics
Neftçi vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neftçi played against Safa in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Neftçi has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Safa has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Neftçi scores 2.67 goals per game and allows 0.67. Safa scores 0.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Neftçi's games and 0% of Safa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 0%, compared with league averages of 26% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 0.91 per game. Neftçi takes 12.0 shots per game, while Safa takes 7.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Neftçi leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Safa leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neftçi's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Safa, it is minutes 61-75 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 26% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi are clear favorites: they have won both league matches so far, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 1, while Safa have a record of 1 win and 2 defeats, with only 1 goal scored. At home, the hosts average 5.0 goals per match, register 17 shots, including 9 on target, and have a 29% conversion rate, compared with Safa’s away figures of 0.5 goals, 7.5 shots, and a 7% conversion rate. The difference in the quality of chances created is reflected in the average xG: 2.02 for Neftçi versus 0.99 for the visitors, who failed to score in 50% of their away matches. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in every home game, while Safa have a negative away goal difference (-1). Recent form also favors Neftçi, who have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals during that run, compared with Safa’s 2 wins and 3 goals scored over the same period.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as both teams currently have a seasonal rate of matches with goals scored by both sides of 0%, compared with the league average of 25%. Neftçi have yet to score at home, generating just 0.48 xG and 4.0 shots per match, while Safa have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches. The visitors score only 0.5 goals per away match on average, although their 4.0 shots on target and xG of 0.99 give them some chance of capitalising on the hosts’ defensive problems, with Neftçi conceding 1.0 goal on average. Recent form also limits the case for goals from both teams: BTTS occurred in 40% of Neftçi’s last five matches and in only 20% of Safa’s, with Safa scoring 0.6 goals per match during this period. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one team fails to score, particularly the hosts.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: in the available data for both teams, matches finishing below this line occurred in 100% of cases. Safa scores just 0.5 goals on average, with average xG of 0.99, which limits the forecast for the visitors to around 0.65 goals. Neftçi are in better form, averaging 2.4 goals scored across their last five matches with an xG of 1.87, while Safa have conceded only 1.0 goal per match over the same period. The hosts have clear potential to score, but the league averages just 2.0 goals per game, and only 33% of matches exceed the 2.5-goal line. The projected total of 2.20 goals leaves room for a 1:0, 2:0 or 2:1 result, making Under 3.5 the safest side of the market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Neftçi are in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Safa have lost 3 of their 5 games and averaged only 0.6 goals. The first-half pattern is crucial: the hosts were leading at the break in 80% of their last five appearances, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors managed just 0.4 goals. Neftçi kept a clean sheet before half-time in 80% of this sample, while Safa failed to score in the first half in 60% of their matches. The quality of chances also favors the hosts, as Safa’s xG stands at 0.99 and Neftçi allow opponents an xG of 1.48, although Neftçi’s current attacking form is significantly stronger than their season-long figures. The most likely scenario is therefore Neftçi taking the lead at the break and maintaining that advantage until the final whistle — an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Safa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Neftçi · 1 pts / game - Safa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 709% better for: goals scored per game.
2.67 goals / game - Neftçi · 0.33 goals / game - Safa
Neftçi is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Neftçi · 1 goals / game - Safa
Neftçi scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).
Safa scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 games), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Safa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Neftçi · 0.67 pts / game - Safa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Safa - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neftçi
Safa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Safa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs Safa?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 4:1 Safa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Safa?
Neftçi score 2.67 goals per game on average and Safa 0.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Neftçi's matches and 0% of Safa's.
What form are Neftçi and Safa in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Safa 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Safa?
The statistical background for Neftçi vs Safa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.