Neftçi vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi play Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 15 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Neftçi: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Sumqayıt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 1.73 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.27 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 48%, Sumqayıt 55%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 55%, Sumqayıt 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.27. Neftçi: 12.8 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 9.7.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.06. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
NeftçiSumqayıt
10Shots9
NeftçiSumqayıt
4Shots on target3
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.5xG1.32
NeftçiSumqayıt
3Corners6
NeftçiSumqayıt
81Dangerous attacks74
NeftçiSumqayıt
19Fouls19
NeftçiSumqayıt
2Cards5
NeftçiSumqayıt

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.73Goals scored / match1.27
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.97Goals conceded / match1.52
NeftçiSumqayıt
54%Average possession52%
NeftçiSumqayıt
5.36Shots on target / match3.58
NeftçiSumqayıt

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.79Shots per match9.73
NeftçiSumqayıt
5.36Shots on target3.58
NeftçiSumqayıt
13.5%Shot conversion13.1%
NeftçiSumqayıt
54%Possession52%
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.66xG for1.27
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.16xG against1.41
NeftçiSumqayıt

Shooting quality

Neftçi: Efficient finishingSumqayıt: Efficient finishing
NeftçiSumqayıt
Accuracy (shots on target)42%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftçi is 150% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.2 pts / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
48% W33% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-11-6
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Sumqayıt
WLWLL
Season result split
33% W15% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-17
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.73 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.27 goals / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.97 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.52 goals / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi scoring profile: very strong

Neftçi scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

Sumqayıt scoring profile: strong

Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).

57Goals scored (season)42
NeftçiSumqayıt
32Goals conceded (season)50
NeftçiSumqayıt
2.7Average goals in match2.79
NeftçiSumqayıt
11Goals scored (last 5)9
NeftçiSumqayıt
2Goals conceded (last 5)9
NeftçiSumqayıt

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal76%
NeftçiSumqayıt
58%2 goals36%
NeftçiSumqayıt
24%3 goals12%
NeftçiSumqayıt
9%4 goals3%
NeftçiSumqayıt

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal76%
NeftçiSumqayıt
24%2 goals45%
NeftçiSumqayıt
6%3 goals24%
NeftçiSumqayıt
3%4 goals6%
NeftçiSumqayıt

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time18%
NeftçiSumqayıt
6%BTTS in both halves9%
NeftçiSumqayıt
36%Scored in both halves18%
NeftçiSumqayıt

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
NeftçiSumqayıt
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
NeftçiSumqayıt
40%BTTS - last 580%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
NeftçiSumqayıt
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
NeftçiSumqayıt
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
NeftçiSumqayıt

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
NeftçiSumqayıt
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
NeftçiSumqayıt
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Neftçi · 0.91 pts / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi - half-time state
30% leading58% draw12% trailing
Sumqayıt - half-time state
15% leading45% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)0.91
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.42
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.09
NeftçiSumqayıt
70%Clean sheet before half-time48%
NeftçiSumqayıt
52%No goal before half-time67%
NeftçiSumqayıt

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.24
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.7
NeftçiSumqayıt
58%Clean sheet after half-time39%
NeftçiSumqayıt
39%No goal after half-time39%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Neftçi - second-half results

42% W39% R18% P
49
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sumqayıt - second-half results

27% W42% R30% P
30
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding220%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.803.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sumqayıt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
8
5
31-45
13
5
46-60
8
4
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Sumqayıt
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
5
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
7
6
46-60
9
10
61-75
12
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Sumqayıt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaSumqayıt
Average goals in match 2.702.58 2.79
Both teams scored 48%46% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%48% 55%
Clean sheets 39%31% 24%
Goal before half-time 58%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 73%74% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Neftçi 2 - 0 - 0 Sumqayıt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FK Sumqayıt
1 : 3
Neftçi PFC Bakı
FK Sumqayıt
0 : 2
Neftçi PFC Bakı

FAQ

What was the result of Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 2:2 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Sumqayıt?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 2, Sumqayıt won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

Neftçi score 1.73 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.27. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Neftçi's matches and 55% of Sumqayıt's.

What form are Neftçi and Sumqayıt in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Sumqayıt 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neftçi vs Sumqayıt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.