Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema play Awassa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Awassa Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Awassa Kenema scores 0.95 and concedes 0.87. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 37%, Awassa Kenema 45%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Awassa Kenema 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.07. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Awassa Kenema: 6.8.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Awassa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). Awassa Kenema: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Negele Arsi Ketema sit 2nd in the table with a season record of 13 wins, 14 draws and 7 losses, while Awassa Kenema are 4th with a 12–12–10 record. In the last five matches the hosts average 1.6 points per game (2–2–1) and have scored 5 goals, whereas the visitors average 1.0 point per game (1–2–2) and have only 2 goals in that period. At home Negele concedes 0.65 goals per game on average, records clean sheets in 47% of matches and 47% of home games end in a draw; Awassa away concedes 0.88 goals, has 35% clean sheets and 29% draws, which gives the hosts a defensive edge and a higher propensity for draws. Quality of chances is similar (home xG 1.10 vs away xG 1.08, xG against 1.23 vs 1.22), but the hosts convert better (shooting efficiency 15% vs 12%) and are less likely to be shut out (35% vs 47%). Considering superior recent form, stronger home defence and higher conversion rate, I project a narrow home win: 50% home win, 35% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Awassa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.87 goals / match - Awassa Kenema
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Awassa Kenema scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under — Awassa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Awassa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Awassa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.76 | 1.78 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Negele Arsi Ketema 0 - 0 - 1 Awassa Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 2:1 Awassa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and Awassa Kenema 0.95. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 45% of Awassa Kenema's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Awassa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Awassa Kenema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.