Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: match statistics
Sidama Bunna, as the league leader, presents significantly higher form and quality than Negele Arsi Ketema. The visitors have won 50% of away matches and concede an average of only 0.88 goals per match, while the hosts have a record of just 38% wins at home. Crucial is Sidama Bunna's advantage in offensive statistics – averaging 1.63 goals away and a higher xG coefficient (1.41 vs 1.04). Recent form of both teams also favors the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 2.0). Despite the home pitch advantage, the difference in class between the leader and the 6th-placed team should translate into a favorable result for Sidama Bunna, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Negele Arsi Ketema played against Sidama Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Negele Arsi Ketema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Sidama Bunna has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.75. Sidama Bunna scores 1.44 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's games and 38% of Sidama Bunna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 31%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sidama Bunna has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.15 per game. Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.3 shots per game, while Sidama Bunna takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Sidama Bunna leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Negele Arsi Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Sidama Bunna, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.74 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sidama Bunna, as the league leader, presents significantly higher form and quality than Negele Arsi Ketema. The visitors have won 50% of away matches and concede an average of only 0.88 goals per match, while the hosts have a record of just 38% wins at home. Crucial is Sidama Bunna's advantage in offensive statistics – averaging 1.63 goals away and a higher xG coefficient (1.41 vs 1.04). Recent form of both teams also favors the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 2.0). Despite the home pitch advantage, the difference in class between the leader and the 6th-placed team should translate into a favorable result for Sidama Bunna, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sidama Bunna is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2.2 pts / game - Sidama Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.44 goals / game - Sidama Bunna
Sidama Bunna is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.5 goals / game - Sidama Bunna
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 meczów).
Sidama Bunna scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Sidama Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.56 pts / game - Sidama Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Sidama Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.81 | 1.74 | ▲ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:0 Sidama Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.06 goals per game on average and Sidama Bunna 1.44. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 38% of Sidama Bunna's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Sidama Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sidama Bunna 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.