Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema sits in second position in the table and is showing excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall. The hosts are incredibly solid at home, where they concede an average of only 0.71 goals per match and boast 43% clean sheets. Welayta Dicha occupies the last, eighteenth place in the league and has not won any away match this season, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five fixtures. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-5) on the road and have not kept a single clean sheet away from home. Given the hosts' advantage in form, league position, and home statistics, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema appears to be the most likely scenario.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Negele Arsi Ketema played against Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Negele Arsi Ketema has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Welayta Dicha has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 0.64. Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 1.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Negele Arsi Ketema's games and 71% of Welayta Dicha's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 43%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Welayta Dicha has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.14 per game. Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.6 shots per game, while Welayta Dicha takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Welayta Dicha leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Negele Arsi Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Welayta Dicha, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.69 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema sits in second position in the table and is showing excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall. The hosts are incredibly solid at home, where they concede an average of only 0.71 goals per match and boast 43% clean sheets. Welayta Dicha occupies the last, eighteenth place in the league and has not won any away match this season, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five fixtures. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-5) on the road and have not kept a single clean sheet away from home. Given the hosts' advantage in form, league position, and home statistics, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 pts / game - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 goals / game - Welayta Dicha
Negele Arsi Ketema is 102% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.64 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.29 goals / game - Welayta Dicha
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).
Welayta Dicha scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.86 pts / game - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.79 | 1.69 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 41% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.14 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 71% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.