Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Negele Arsi Ketema played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 24, 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Negele Arsi Ketema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.90. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.64 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 1.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's games and 45% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 36%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Negele Arsi Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.11 per game. Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.3 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.27 after halftime.
When the teams score
Negele Arsi Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.81 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.4 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.64 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Negele Arsi Ketema is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.55 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.09 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.80 | 1.81 | ▲ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 37% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.90 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.64. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 45% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.