Neom SC vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Ahli presents significantly higher form and quality, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive streak of five consecutive victories. The guests have won 71% of away matches with only 14% losses, keeping a clean sheet in 86% of away meetings. Neom SC is in a difficult situation in 9th position, with a negative goal difference (-6) at home and just 25% wins in home matches. The difference in expected goals (xG) is significant – Al Ahli generates 1.69 xG away while conceding only 0.7, whereas Neom has practically even values (1.36 to 1.35). The form of the last five matches clearly favors the guests (3.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), which, combined with Al Ahli's solid defense, makes them the clear favorite for this match.
Neom SC vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neom SC played against Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Neom SC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Al Ahli has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Neom SC scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.56. Al Ahli scores 1.63 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Neom SC's games and 50% of Al Ahli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 38%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahli has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.29 per game. Neom SC takes 12.1 shots per game, while Al Ahli takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Neom SC leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahli leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neom SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Al Ahli, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli presents significantly higher form and quality, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive streak of five consecutive victories. The guests have won 71% of away matches with only 14% losses, keeping a clean sheet in 86% of away meetings. Neom SC is in a difficult situation in 9th position, with a negative goal difference (-6) at home and just 25% wins in home matches. The difference in expected goals (xG) is significant – Al Ahli generates 1.69 xG away while conceding only 0.7, whereas Neom has practically even values (1.36 to 1.35). The form of the last five matches clearly favors the guests (3.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), which, combined with Al Ahli's solid defense, makes them the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neom SC | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahli is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Neom SC · 3 pts / game - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Neom SC · 1.63 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 108% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Neom SC · 0.75 goals / game - Al Ahli
Neom SC scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
Al Ahli scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while Neom SC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neom SC
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neom SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 69%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +9 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neom SC
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Neom SC | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Neom SC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Ahli. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Neom SC 0:3 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
Neom SC score 1.31 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.63. The Professional League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Neom SC's matches and 50% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Neom SC and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Neom SC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Ahli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


