Bulgaria - Second LeagueGradski stadionData current as of November 13, 2026

Nesebar vs Fratria: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nesebar vs Fratria: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nesebar plays Fratria in Second League (Bulgaria). The game is scheduled for November 15, 2026. Venue: Gradski stadion.

Recent form

Nesebar has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Fratria has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Nesebar scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.53. Fratria scores 1.71 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of Nesebar's games and 50% of Fratria's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 43%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fratria has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.25 per game. Nesebar takes 7.8 shots per game, while Fratria takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Nesebar leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Fratria leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.14 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nesebar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Fratria, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Second League games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.21)
(3.48)
(1.96)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.47Goals scored / game1.71
NesebarFratria
1.53Goals allowed / game1
NesebarFratria
40%Average possession51%
NesebarFratria
3.87Shots on target / game4.57
NesebarFratria

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.8Shots per game9.57
NesebarFratria
3.87Shots on target4.57
NesebarFratria
18.8%Shot conversion17.9%
NesebarFratria
40%Possession51%
NesebarFratria
1.25xG for1.45
NesebarFratria
1.18xG against1.15
NesebarFratria

Shooting quality

Nesebar: Counter-attackingFratria: Efficient finishing
NesebarFratria
Accuracy (shots on target)50%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fratria is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Nesebar · 1.8 pts / game - Fratria

Nesebar
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
33% W20% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-7
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.61Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fratria
WWLLW
Season result split
50% W29% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-3
1.79 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fratria is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.47 goals / game - Nesebar · 1.71 goals / game - Fratria

Fratria is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.53 goals / game - Nesebar · 1 goals / game - Fratria

Nesebar scoring profile: strong

Nesebar scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 games), while Fratria keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 games).

Fratria scoring profile: very strong

Fratria scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 games), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 games).

22Goals scored (season)24
NesebarFratria
23Goals conceded (season)14
NesebarFratria
3Average goals per game2.71
NesebarFratria
2Goals scored (last 5)12
NesebarFratria
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
NesebarFratria

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal86%
NesebarFratria
27%2 goals50%
NesebarFratria
13%3 goals14%
NesebarFratria
13%4 goals7%
NesebarFratria

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
NesebarFratria
47%2 goals36%
NesebarFratria
20%3 goals0%
NesebarFratria
7%4 goals0%
NesebarFratria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time21%
NesebarFratria
0%BTTS in both halves14%
NesebarFratria
13%Scored in both halves21%
NesebarFratria

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
NesebarFratria
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
NesebarFratria
40%BTTS - last 560%
NesebarFratria

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
NesebarFratria
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
NesebarFratria
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
NesebarFratria

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NesebarFratria
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
NesebarFratria
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
NesebarFratria

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Fratria - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.36
NesebarFratria
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.57
NesebarFratria
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
NesebarFratria
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
NesebarFratria
60%Clean sheet before half-time57%
NesebarFratria
53%No goal before half-time57%
NesebarFratria

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per game (2nd half)1.64
NesebarFratria
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
NesebarFratria
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
NesebarFratria
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.71
NesebarFratria
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NesebarFratria
60%No goal after half-time36%
NesebarFratria

Nesebar - second-half results

20% W33% D47% L
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fratria - second-half results

36% W57% D7% L
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nesebar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.40
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Fratria - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
0
16-30
1
5
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Fratria
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
0
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Fratria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

NesebarLigaFratria
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.80• 2.71
Both teams scored▲ 53%51%• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 47%50%▼ 43%
Clean sheets• 27%28%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%65%• 64%
Goal after half-time• 80%80%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
1.15
Away goals / game
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Nesebar and Fratria play?

Nesebar face Fratria on November 15, 2026 in Second League at Gradski stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nesebar vs Fratria?

Nesebar score 1.47 goals per game on average and Fratria 1.71. The Second League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nesebar's matches and 50% of Fratria's.

What form are Nesebar and Fratria in?

Over the last 5 games Nesebar have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fratria 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nesebar vs Fratria?

The statistical background for Nesebar vs Fratria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.