Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Neuchâtel Xamax played against Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Neuchâtel Xamax has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Étoile Carouge has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Neuchâtel Xamax scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.59. Étoile Carouge scores 1.29 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 3.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Neuchâtel Xamax's games and 56% of Étoile Carouge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 56%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neuchâtel Xamax has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.44 per game. Neuchâtel Xamax takes 13.3 shots per game, while Étoile Carouge takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Neuchâtel Xamax leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Étoile Carouge leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Neuchâtel Xamax's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Étoile Carouge, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Challenge League games average 3.02 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neuchâtel Xamax has a clear offensive edge at home: on average 1.65 goals scored and xG 1.65 per match, with 14.24 shots and 5 shots on target, versus Étoile Carouge who average 1.59 goals, xG 1.32, 11.24 shots and 4.29 shots on target away. Form confirms this gap: Xamax scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches and averages 2.0 points per game in that period (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Carouge scored 10 goals and averages 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Defensively both teams concede frequently — the hosts concede 1.35 goals at home on average, and Carouge concedes 1.47 away; in the last 5 matches Xamax conceded 9 goals and the visitors 8, indicating an open game. Key advantages for Xamax are a higher home win rate 47% versus 35% away wins for the visitors, a better home goal difference (+5 vs +2) and a significantly lower share of matches without scoring (Xamax fail to score in 12% of home matches vs 29% of Carouge away matches). Considering the greater volume of chances (xG 1.65 vs 1.32), better points per game in the last 5 (2.0 vs 1.4) and superiority in shots, I forecast a Neuchâtel Xamax win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal and league data favor BTTS: Neuchâtel Xamax has 59% matches with both teams scoring, Étoile Carouge 53%, and the league average is 55%. The signal is stronger in form: in the last 5 matches Xamax had 100% BTTS, Carouge 80%, with Xamax averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and Carouge 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded. xG comparison shows both sides create and concede chances: home xG is 1.55 versus away xG against 1.65, and away xG is 1.32 versus home xG against 1.43, meaning both sit around ~1.3–1.6 expected goals per match. Additionally Xamax have 51 goals for and 54 against this season, Carouge 44 for and 49 against, and both teams record clean sheets in only 24% of matches, which increases the likelihood of mutual goals. Taking into account 59%/53% seasonal BTTS, 100%/80% in the last 5 matches and shot/efficiency stats (14.88 vs 11.24 shots and 7% vs 14% conversion), I project BTTS - Yes at 80% vs 20% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: Neuchâtel Xamax’s attacking xG is 1.55 while Étoile Carouge’s defense concedes 1.65 xG, yielding ~1.60 expected goals for the home side; similarly the visitors’ attacking xG of 1.32 against the home defense’s 1.43 xG gives ~1.38 for the away team, totaling 2.98 expected goals. This produces a very strong signal for Over 1.5 — home sides registered Over 1.5 in 88% of matches, visitors in 76%, and the league averages 3.02 goals per game. Hosts average 14.88 shots with 4.0 on target and a 7% conversion, visitors 11.24 shots with 4.29 on target and a 14% conversion, so the away team is more clinical, but the combined shot volume and xG support a ~3-goal probability. The 2.5 line also looks favorable (I estimate ~64% for Over) because seasonally Over 2.5 is 47% for homes and 65% for aways, and in the last 5 matches homes had 100% Over 2.5 while visitors had 60%. Over 3.5 appears less likely (~32%) — seasonal Over 3.5 is only 18% for homes and 35% for aways, and the projected 2.98 goals is below 3.5, therefore I recommend playing Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 47% of matches and the away side in 65%, averaging roughly a 56% chance of an HT draw. After the break the advantage shifts to the visitors — they score on average 0.88 goals in the second half versus 0.53 for the hosts, and 94% of the away team’s matches feature more than 0.5 goals in the second half, suggesting HT draws often turn into a turnaround in their favor. Additionally, the away side score 8 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 3 for the hosts and have a better shot conversion rate (14% vs 7% for the home team); season goal averages are 1.59 (away) vs 1.00 (home), so they win full-time more frequently. Although xG favors the home team (xG 1.55 vs 1.32), the hosts’ lower conversion and the visitors’ stronger second half shift the edge toward an HT draw and an away win FT; therefore I rate X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neuchâtel Xamax is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.4 pts / game - Étoile Carouge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neuchâtel Xamax is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.29 goals / game - Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.44 goals / game - Étoile Carouge
Neuchâtel Xamax scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 meczów), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).
Étoile Carouge scores in 71% of games (24 of 34 meczów), while Neuchâtel Xamax keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neuchâtel Xamax
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Étoile Carouge is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / game - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.18 pts / game - Étoile Carouge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neuchâtel Xamax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Neuchâtel Xamax
Étoile Carouge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Liga | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.09 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Neuchâtel Xamax's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Étoile Carouge. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
The Challenge League match finished Neuchâtel Xamax 3:0 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neuchâtel Xamax and Étoile Carouge?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neuchâtel Xamax won 3, Étoile Carouge won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
Neuchâtel Xamax score 1.50 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.29. The Challenge League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Neuchâtel Xamax's matches and 56% of Étoile Carouge's.
What form are Neuchâtel Xamax and Étoile Carouge in?
Over the last 5 games Neuchâtel Xamax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.