New England II vs Chicago Fire II: match statistics
New England II vs Chicago Fire II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
New England II played against Chicago Fire II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on June 21, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
New England II has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Chicago Fire II has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
New England II scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 0.85. Chicago Fire II scores 1.31 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of New England II's games and 62% of Chicago Fire II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 77%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New England II has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.53 per game. New England II takes 13.8 shots per game, while Chicago Fire II takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
New England II leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Chicago Fire II leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
New England II's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Chicago Fire II, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New England II has a clear advantage at home: they win 63% of home matches, score an average of 1.5 goals and concede only 0.88 per game, while Chicago Fire II have yet to win away (0% wins), average 0.67 goals scored and concede 1.67. The hosts generate 1.68 xG per home match with 5 shots on target and 11% conversion, whereas the visitors have 1.43 xG away, 4 shots on target and only 5% conversion, indicating higher quality chances created by New England. In the last 5 matches New England are 4–1 with 7 goals for and 3 against (PPG 2.6), while Chicago have scored 11 goals over a 3–2 run, but that offensive output does not translate to away effectiveness (avg. 0.67 goals per away match). Additionally, the hosts record 38% clean sheets at home versus 17% for the visitors on the road, and the difference in average goals conceded (0.88 vs 1.67) plus superior successful goal situations favors New England’s defense; therefore I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because league and seasonal indicators support both teams scoring: New England II has BTTS in 57% of home matches, Chicago Fire II in 67% of away matches, and the league average is 62%. Both sides produce comparable expected chances: xG 1.63 for New England vs 1.43 for Chicago, with xG against 1.41 and 1.34 respectively, and average shots 13.14 vs 12.67 with shots on target 3.29 vs 4.0. Additionally, the high share of matches over 2.5 goals (86% for the home side, 67% for the away) and instances of simultaneous over 2.5 & BTTS (56% home, 50% away) point to a strong likelihood of a multi-goal game. The counterargument is New England’s recent form over the last 5 games: 7 goals scored (1.4 avg) and only 3 conceded (0.6 avg), with BTTS at 40% in that period, which reduces the chance of the home side conceding. Nevertheless, given the seasonal 57%/67%, the league 62% and Chicago’s offensive tempo (11 goals in last 5, 2.2 avg), I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
New England II averages 1.86 goals per match with xG 1.63, while Chicago Fire II has 0.67 goals per match with xG 1.43. Combining each offense with the opponent's defense (xG against: Chicago 1.34, New England 1.41) yields expected goals of 1.67 for New England and 1.05 for Chicago, totaling 2.72 goals. Both teams frequently score — BTTS rate is 57% for New England and 67% for Chicago, and the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 86% and 83%, respectively, which further supports the likelihood of Over. A Poisson model with lambda=2.72 gives probabilities of approximately 76% for Over 1.5, 51% for Over 2.5 and 29% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, the home side has higher shot efficiency (conversion rate 14% vs 5%) and form of 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5, therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at the break in 4 of 7 matches (57%) and score an average of 1.14 goals by half-time versus 0.33 for Chicago Fire II — a cumulative 12 home goals at the break vs 4 for the visitors — indicating New England II’s advantage in the first 45 minutes. Over full matches New England II win 57% of home games while Chicago Fire II have 0% wins; the hosts average 1.86 goals per game with a 14% shot conversion compared to 0.67 goals and 5% for the visitors, so a home victory is the most likely outcome. xG confirms a slight home edge (1.63 vs 1.43), and both teams score during matches more often (57% vs 67%) than they do before the break (29% vs 17%), suggesting first halves most often finish with one side leading. Additionally, in 86% of matches hosts scored after the break and visitors did so in 83% of matches, so the scenario draw at half-time and home turnaround to win (X/1) is a reasonable alternative. On that basis I select 1/1 as the primary pick: New England II leading at half-time and the hosts winning the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| New England II | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
New England II is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - New England II · 1.8 pts / game - Chicago Fire II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New England II is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - New England II · 1.54 goals / game - Chicago Fire II
New England II scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Chicago Fire II keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Chicago Fire II scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while New England II keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New England II
Over / Under - Chicago Fire II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire II is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - New England II · 1.62 pts / game - Chicago Fire II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New England II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Chicago Fire II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
New England II
Chicago Fire II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New England II | Liga | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 21% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from New England II's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Chicago Fire II. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of New England II vs Chicago Fire II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New England II 1:2 Chicago Fire II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New England II and Chicago Fire II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches New England II won 1, Chicago Fire II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New England II vs Chicago Fire II?
New England II score 1.31 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire II 1.31. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 54% of New England II's matches and 62% of Chicago Fire II's.
What form are New England II and Chicago Fire II in?
Over the last 5 games New England II have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Chicago Fire II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New England II vs Chicago Fire II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New England II vs Chicago Fire II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.