New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
FC Cincinnati presents a decidedly better form over their last five matches, securing 1.8 PPG compared to just 0.8 PPG for New England Revolution. The visitors have scored as many as 14 goals in their last five fixtures, whereas the hosts have netted only 6 while conceding 11. Although Cincinnati has a 100% loss rate in away matches this season, their overall form (wwllw) and advantage in offensive statistics suggest the potential to break this streak. New England Revolution has not won a single home match this season and holds a negative goal difference, which further weakens their position. Considering the hosts' poor defense and the visitors' offensive potential, I predict an FC Cincinnati victory, although the away side's road form leaves a certain margin of uncertainty.
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New England Revolution play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
New England Revolution: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
New England Revolution scores 1.57 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New England Revolution 57%, FC Cincinnati 73%. Over 2.5: New England Revolution 64%, FC Cincinnati 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.22. New England Revolution: 10.1 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.6.
Match halves
New England Revolution: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.07. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
New England Revolution: 76-90+ (8 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
FC Cincinnati presents a decidedly better form over their last five matches, securing 1.8 PPG compared to just 0.8 PPG for New England Revolution. The visitors have scored as many as 14 goals in their last five fixtures, whereas the hosts have netted only 6 while conceding 11. Although Cincinnati has a 100% loss rate in away matches this season, their overall form (wwllw) and advantage in offensive statistics suggest the potential to break this streak. New England Revolution has not won a single home match this season and holds a negative goal difference, which further weakens their position. Considering the hosts' poor defense and the visitors' offensive potential, I predict an FC Cincinnati victory, although the away side's road form leaves a certain margin of uncertainty.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New England Revolution | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England Revolution is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - New England Revolution · 2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - New England Revolution · 2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New England Revolution
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Cincinnati is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New England Revolution - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New England Revolution | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.86 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished New England Revolution 6:1 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
New England Revolution score 1.57 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.40. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of New England Revolution's matches and 73% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games New England Revolution have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
The statistical background for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.