New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New Mexico United play Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
New Mexico United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New Mexico United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New Mexico United 50%, Las Vegas Lights 80%. Over 2.5: New Mexico United 50%, Las Vegas Lights 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
New Mexico United has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.32. New Mexico United: 11.9 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 10.7.
Match halves
New Mexico United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
New Mexico United: 61-75 (6 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I predict a home win: New Mexico United at home averages 14.5 shots with 6 on target per match and scores 2.5 goals per game, with a 50% win rate, 50% draws and 0% losses at home. Las Vegas Lights on the road average only 8 shots and 2.8 on target, score 1.8 goals on average but concede as many as 2.8 goals per match and have an 80% away loss rate (0% wins). The difference in chance creation is clear: 14.5 vs 8 shots and 6 vs 2.8 shots on target, while the home xG is 1.61 versus 1.12 xG for the visitors on the road, favoring New Mexico’s offensive advantage. Although Las Vegas has a higher shot conversion (23% vs 17%), the lower volume of attempts and the high average goals conceded (2.8) increase the risk for the visitors; both teams rarely fail to score (percentage of matches without a goal 0% for both), so I expect a match with goals. Additionally, New Mexico averages 1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches versus 1.0 for Las Vegas and has a better goal differential at home (+1 vs -5 away), hence a higher probability of a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New Mexico United is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.53 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
New Mexico United is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
New Mexico United scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New Mexico United
Over / Under — Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New Mexico United is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.13 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New Mexico United
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): New Mexico United 2 - 1 - 2 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 3:1 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico United won 2, Las Vegas Lights won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
New Mexico United score 1.36 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.53. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of New Mexico United's matches and 80% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are New Mexico United and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.