New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics
New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New Mexico United play Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 21 May 2026 at 03:00. Venue: Stadion Patriot. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
New Mexico United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
New Mexico United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New Mexico United 50%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%. Over 2.5: New Mexico United 50%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.33. New Mexico United: 11.9 shots per match, Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0.
Match halves
New Mexico United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
New Mexico United: 61-75 (6 goals). Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Tampa Bay Rowdies appear favorites despite being away: on the road they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses and concede only 0.5 goals per away match on average, while New Mexico United concede 1.67 goals at home. In the last 5 matches Tampa scored 9 goals and averages 2.2 points per game, whereas New Mexico have 7 goals and 1.4 points, but the hosts conceded as many as 11 goals in those five fixtures. New Mexico’s home attack is statistically dangerous — 2.67 goals per game, average xG 1.75, 6.33 shots on target and a 17% conversion rate — versus the visitors’ 1.0 goals and 8% conversion away. The key advantage for the Rowdies is defense and points stability: average xG against 1.19 on the road, 50% clean sheets and overall lower goals conceded (3 conceded in the last 5 matches) versus New Mexico’s defensive issues (11 conceded). For these reasons I expect an away win, although the match may produce goals given the hosts’ offensive metrics.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New Mexico United is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.56 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - New Mexico United · 0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
New Mexico United scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New Mexico United
Over / Under — Tampa Bay Rowdies
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - New Mexico United · 2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New Mexico United
Tampa Bay Rowdies
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: New Mexico United 0 - 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 0:1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
New Mexico United score 1.36 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of New Mexico United's matches and 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.
What form are New Mexico United and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.