United States - MLSYankee StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

New York City vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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New York City vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York City play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 01:30. Venue: Yankee Stadium.

Current form

New York City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York City scores 1.69 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.93 and concedes 1.27. League average: 3.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York City 63%, Chicago Fire 60%. Over 2.5: New York City 56%, Chicago Fire 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.37. New York City: 11.2 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.9.

Match halves

New York City: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.81. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

New York City: 16-30 (7 goals). Chicago Fire: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(3.50)
(2.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York CityChicago Fire
1.69Goals scored / match1.93
New York CityChicago Fire
1.38Goals conceded / match1.27
New York CityChicago Fire
56%Average possession53%
New York CityChicago Fire
5Shots on target / match5.13
New York CityChicago Fire

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.19Shots per match14.87
New York CityChicago Fire
5Shots on target5.13
New York CityChicago Fire
15.1%Shot conversion13%
New York CityChicago Fire
56%Possession53%
New York CityChicago Fire
1.37xG for1.64
New York CityChicago Fire
1.4xG against1.41
New York CityChicago Fire

Shooting quality

New York City: Efficient finishingChicago Fire: Attacking
New York CityChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)45%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York City is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - New York City · 1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire

New York City
WWDLW
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Chicago Fire
LWWWL
Season result split
53% W13% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-5
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - New York City · 1.93 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - New York City · 1.27 goals / match - Chicago Fire

New York City scoring profile: strong

New York City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

27Goals scored (season)29
New York CityChicago Fire
22Goals conceded (season)19
New York CityChicago Fire
3.06Average goals in match3.2
New York CityChicago Fire
8Goals scored (last 5)10
New York CityChicago Fire
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
New York CityChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal93%
New York CityChicago Fire
44%2 goals60%
New York CityChicago Fire
25%3 goals27%
New York CityChicago Fire
13%4 goals7%
New York CityChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal60%
New York CityChicago Fire
38%2 goals40%
New York CityChicago Fire
13%3 goals27%
New York CityChicago Fire
6%4 goals0%
New York CityChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time33%
New York CityChicago Fire
13%BTTS in both halves13%
New York CityChicago Fire
44%Scored in both halves40%
New York CityChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
New York CityChicago Fire
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
New York CityChicago Fire
60%BTTS - last 580%
New York CityChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
New York CityChicago Fire
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
New York CityChicago Fire
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
New York CityChicago Fire

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
New York CityChicago Fire
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
New York CityChicago Fire
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
New York CityChicago Fire

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - New York City · 1.67 pts / match - Chicago Fire

New York City - half-time state
44% leading25% draw31% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
40% leading47% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.67
New York CityChicago Fire
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.8
New York CityChicago Fire
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
New York CityChicago Fire
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.33
New York CityChicago Fire
44%Clean sheet before half-time53%
New York CityChicago Fire
44%No goal before half-time33%
New York CityChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.4
New York CityChicago Fire
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
New York CityChicago Fire
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
New York CityChicago Fire
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.87
New York CityChicago Fire
44%Clean sheet after half-time60%
New York CityChicago Fire
31%No goal after half-time33%
New York CityChicago Fire

New York City - second-half results

31% W31% R38% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

40% W20% R40% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New York City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Chicago Fire - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York City
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
6
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
6
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

New York CityLigaChicago Fire
Average goals in match 3.063.31 3.20
Both teams scored 63%61% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%63% 73%
Clean sheets 19%22% 40%
Goal before half-time 88%77% 80%
Goal after half-time 88%80% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.31
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do New York City and Chicago Fire play?

New York City face Chicago Fire on 25 July 2026 in MLS at Yankee Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs Chicago Fire?

New York City score 1.69 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.93. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of New York City's matches and 60% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are New York City and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games New York City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs Chicago Fire?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.