New York City vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
New York City vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
New York City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City scores 1.69 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City 63%, FC Cincinnati 75%. Over 2.5: New York City 56%, FC Cincinnati 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.37. New York City: 11.2 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.4.
Match halves
New York City: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.81. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
New York City: 16-30 (7 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
New York City holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 2.4 goals per match with an average xG of 1.65, while FC Cincinnati average 1.0 goals away with xG 1.55. Defensively the visitors are more vulnerable — they concede an average of 3.0 goals on the road (compared to 1.4 conceded by the hosts at home) and in their last five matches Cincinnati have conceded 16 goals (3.2 per game) versus New York’s 10 conceded (2.0 per game). Efficiency also favors NYC: on average 6.4 shots on target and 16% conversion for the hosts versus 5.75 on target and 8% conversion for the visitors; the hosts have not had a goalless home match (0% of home games without scoring), and the visitors have no clean sheets away (0%). Additionally NYC have a 40% win rate at their stadium and a positive home goal difference of +5, while Cincinnati have a 0% away win rate and a negative goal difference of -8, which increases the hosts’ chances. Considering these numbers, I expect a home win, although the match could be high-scoring.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - New York City · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - New York City · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York City is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - New York City · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New York City
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - New York City · 1.25 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.06 | 3.30 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished New York City 4:4 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
New York City score 1.69 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.50. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of New York City's matches and 75% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are New York City and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
The statistical background for New York City vs FC Cincinnati — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.