New York City vs Inter Miami: match statistics
New York City is showing impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 4 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. The hosts also stand out with excellent shot conversion (31%) and ball possession dominance (57%). Inter Miami's away form shows mixed results with a 50% win rate, but a significantly lower offensive output (1.5 goals per game) and higher average goals conceded (1.5). The difference in xG (1.46 vs 1.25) and the goal difference (+7 vs 0) further favor the hosts. Considering New York City's recent two-match winning streak and Inter Miami's steady form over the last five games, I expect a home win, although the visitors might put up a fight thanks to their solid ball possession.
New York City vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City play Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
New York City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Inter Miami: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City scores 1.67 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.60 and concedes 1.87. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City 60%, Inter Miami 73%. Over 2.5: New York City 53%, Inter Miami 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.39. New York City: 11.4 shots per match, Inter Miami: 16.3.
Match halves
New York City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
New York City: 16-30 (6 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
New York City is showing impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 4 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. The hosts also stand out with excellent shot conversion (31%) and ball possession dominance (57%). Inter Miami's away form shows mixed results with a 50% win rate, but a significantly lower offensive output (1.5 goals per game) and higher average goals conceded (1.5). The difference in xG (1.46 vs 1.25) and the goal difference (+7 vs 0) further favor the hosts. Considering New York City's recent two-match winning streak and Inter Miami's steady form over the last five games, I expect a home win, although the visitors might put up a fight thanks to their solid ball possession.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - New York City · 2.4 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - New York City · 2.6 goals / match - Inter Miami
New York City is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - New York City · 1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami
New York City scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New York City
Over / Under — Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.07 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished New York City 2:3 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs Inter Miami?
New York City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.60. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of New York City's matches and 73% of Inter Miami's.
What form are New York City and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter Miami 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs Inter Miami?
The statistical background for New York City vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.