New York City vs St. Louis City: match statistics
New York City vs St. Louis City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
New York City played against St. Louis City in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
New York City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. St. Louis City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
New York City scores 2.60 goals per game and allows 1.20. St. Louis City scores 0.80 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of New York City's games and 40% of St. Louis City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 20%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Louis City has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.46 per game. New York City takes 12.0 shots per game, while St. Louis City takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
New York City leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. St. Louis City leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
New York City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For St. Louis City, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a New York City home win. At home they average 3.33 goals per game and have a 67% home win rate, with a +6 goal difference in home matches. In the last 5 games NYC scored 13 goals and have a 3-1-1 record, averaging 2 points per match, while St. Louis City scored 4 goals in their last 5 games and sit at 1-1-3 with an average of 0.8 points per match. Situational stats show a clear home advantage: on average 6 shots on target per game versus 3 for the visitors and a conversion rate of 27% versus 0% for St. Louis, who on the road have a 100% share of matches without scoring and concede 2.00 goals on average. Although the xG for home (1.42) and away (1.28) is similar, NYC’s superior chance conversion and better home defense (1.33 goals conceded vs 2.00 conceded by the visitors away) lead me to estimate probabilities: home ~78%, draw 12%, away 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability vs 35% because New York City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and BTTS occurred in 80% of their last 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals scored in those five games. The home side generates 1.94 xG per match, averages 15 shots and 7.33 on target, translating to 13 goals scored and 6 conceded this season — metrics indicating a genuine advantage in chance creation. Visiting St. Louis has a seasonal goals scored average of 0.0 (4 goals this season) and only 3.0 shots on target per match, and in their last 5 matches they averaged 0.8 goals with an xG of 1.68, i.e. they create chances but convert poorly. Additionally, St. Louis concedes 2.0 goals on average this season and 1.4 in the last 5 matches, which increases the likelihood the hosts will score, while the visitors’ low finishing (conversion rate 0% in seasonal data) reduces but does not eliminate their chance to score. Considering the league BTTS level of 51% and the fact that the home attacking advantage in the league is 77%, I overall favor the Both Teams To Score scenario and rate it at 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The calculated expected goals favor the Over side: home 1.70 (average of xG_for 1.94 and opponents' xG_against 1.45), away 1.15 (average of xG_for 1.28 and opponents' xG_against 1.01), total 2.85. Additionally, New York City records 7.33 shots on target and 15.0 shots per match on average, versus St. Louis’s 3.0 on target and 12.0 shots, indicating more goal-scoring opportunities for the home team. In the last 5 matches NYC has scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and had 80% of games Over 2.5 goals, while St. Louis has 4 goals in the last 5 (0.8) and only 20% Over 2.5, so NYC’s offensive edge increases the likelihood of goals. Seasonal indicators also support Over 1.5: NYC has 67% of home matches Over 1.5, and St. Louis has 100% of away matches Over 1.5, therefore the best line to play is Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (Over 2.5 moderately likely, Over 3.5 has low chance).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New York City are the favorites: the hosts’ xG is 1.94 versus St. Louis 1.28, they average 7.33 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 3.0, and in the last five matches they have averaged 2.6 goals while St. Louis averages 0.8. In the last five matches the hosts led at the break in 60% (3 of 5) and averaged 1.4 goals at half-time versus 0.4 for opponents; season half-time averages are 0.67 for NY and 0.0 for St. Louis, indicating an advantage already in the first half. St. Louis concedes 1.4 goals on average in the last five games, has lower xG and only 3.0 shots on target, while NY averages 15.0 overall shots and posts a 9% conversion versus 0% for the visitors, so a turnaround is unlikely. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (hosts lead at the break and win) — 36%; next most likely are X/1 at 25% and X/X at 13%, reflecting NY’s superiority both at half-time (1.4 goals HT) and over the full match (2.6 goals per game versus St. Louis’s 0.8).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
New York City is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - New York City · 0.8 pts / game - St. Louis City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 225% better for: goals scored per game.
2.6 goals / game - New York City · 0.8 goals / game - St. Louis City
New York City is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - New York City · 1.4 goals / game - St. Louis City
New York City scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
St. Louis City scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City
Over / Under - St. Louis City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - New York City · 1.2 pts / game - St. Louis City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
New York City
St. Louis City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.80 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs St. Louis City?
The MLS match finished New York City 1:1 St. Louis City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs St. Louis City?
New York City score 2.60 goals per game on average and St. Louis City 0.80. The MLS average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of New York City's matches and 40% of St. Louis City's.
What form are New York City and St. Louis City in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Louis City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs St. Louis City?
The statistical background for New York City vs St. Louis City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.