New York RB vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
New York RB vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
New York RB: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB scores 1.63 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB 75%, FC Cincinnati 75%. Over 2.5: New York RB 69%, FC Cincinnati 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.52. New York RB: 13.2 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.4.
Match halves
New York RB: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
New York RB: 0-15 (6 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because New York RB concedes on average 1.5 goals per home match, while FC Cincinnati concedes 3.5 goals on the road and have shipped 15 goals in their last 5 games. The hosts generate an average home xG of 1.63 and limit opponents to xG 0.98 (difference +0.65), whereas FC Cincinnati has road xG of 1.71 but allows opponents 1.82 xG (difference -0.11), indicating a NYRB advantage in defensive stability. NYRB averages 1.4 points per match in the last 5 games with a 2-1-2 record, while FC Cincinnati averages 1.2 points with a 2-0-3 record, and the visitors have no away wins (0% win rate). Although FC Cincinnati produce more shots (14) and 6.5 on target away compared to NYRB’s 12 and 4 at home and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, their low conversion (4%) and just 0.5 goals per away game limit their effectiveness. I therefore assign a 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win, mainly due to defensive advantage, higher clean sheet rate (50% vs 0%) and NYRB’s game control (66% possession vs 50%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York RB is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - New York RB · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - New York RB · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York RB is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.19 goals / match - New York RB · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York RB scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New York RB
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - New York RB · 1.25 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York RB | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.81 | 3.31 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: New York RB 0 - 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished New York RB 4:2 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB vs FC Cincinnati?
New York RB score 1.63 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.50. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of New York RB's matches and 75% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are New York RB and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB vs FC Cincinnati?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York RB vs FC Cincinnati: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.