United States - MLSSports Illustrated StadiumData current as of October 14, 2026

New York RB vs Toronto: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

New York RB vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

New York RB plays Toronto in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Recent form

New York RB has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Toronto has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

New York RB scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.86. Toronto scores 1.46 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 61% of New York RB's games and 79% of Toronto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 68%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

New York RB has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.38 per game. New York RB takes 13.5 shots per game, while Toronto takes 12.1.

First-half and second-half trends

New York RB leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Toronto leads at halftime in 11% and scores 1.07 after halftime.

When the teams score

New York RB's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Toronto, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(4.00)
(3.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

New York RBToronto
1.36Goals scored / game1.46
New York RBToronto
1.86Goals allowed / game1.86
New York RBToronto
51%Average possession45%
New York RBToronto
4.82Shots on target / game4.39
New York RBToronto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.54Shots per game12.14
New York RBToronto
4.82Shots on target4.39
New York RBToronto
10%Shot conversion12.1%
New York RBToronto
51%Possession45%
New York RBToronto
1.57xG for1.38
New York RBToronto
1.59xG against1.54
New York RBToronto

Shooting quality

New York RB: BalancedToronto: Counter-attacking
New York RBToronto
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

New York RB is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - New York RB · 1.2 pts / game - Toronto

New York RB
LWWLW
Season result split
36% W21% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-12
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Toronto
WLLLW
Season result split
25% W39% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-11-10
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toronto is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - New York RB · 1.46 goals / game - Toronto

New York RB scoring profile: very strong

New York RB scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 games), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 games).

Toronto scoring profile: very strong

Toronto scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 games).

38Goals scored (season)41
New York RBToronto
52Goals conceded (season)52
New York RBToronto
3.21Average goals per game3.32
New York RBToronto
6Goals scored (last 5)5
New York RBToronto
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
New York RBToronto

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
New York RBToronto
32%2 goals43%
New York RBToronto
21%3 goals18%
New York RBToronto
11%4 goals4%
New York RBToronto

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal89%
New York RBToronto
57%2 goals54%
New York RBToronto
25%3 goals36%
New York RBToronto
11%4 goals7%
New York RBToronto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time25%
New York RBToronto
14%BTTS in both halves11%
New York RBToronto
25%Scored in both halves11%
New York RBToronto

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
New York RBToronto
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
New York RBToronto
20%BTTS - last 560%
New York RBToronto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
New York RBToronto
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
New York RBToronto
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
New York RBToronto

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
New York RBToronto
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
New York RBToronto
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
New York RBToronto

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York RB is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - New York RB · 0.71 pts / game - Toronto

New York RB - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing
Toronto - half-time state
11% leading39% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)0.71
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.39
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
New York RBToronto
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.25
New York RBToronto
46%Clean sheet before half-time36%
New York RBToronto
57%No goal before half-time68%
New York RBToronto

After half-time (2nd half)

0.96Points per game (2nd half)1.39
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
New York RBToronto
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)1
New York RBToronto
1.86Average goals (2nd half)2.07
New York RBToronto
29%Clean sheet after half-time36%
New York RBToronto
46%No goal after half-time39%
New York RBToronto

New York RB - second-half results

25% W21% D54% L
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Toronto - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding227%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

New York RB - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Toronto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.40
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

New York RB
ScoredConceded
8
7
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
8
31-45
7
12
46-60
3
9
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
2
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
7
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.27
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

New York RB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

New York RBLigaToronto
Average goals per game• 3.213.26• 3.32
Both teams scored▼ 61%64%▲ 79%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%64%▲ 68%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time• 79%78%▼ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%82%▼ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from New York RB's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toronto. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do New York RB and Toronto play?

New York RB face Toronto on October 17, 2026 in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before New York RB vs Toronto?

New York RB score 1.36 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.46. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 61% of New York RB's matches and 79% of Toronto's.

What form are New York RB and Toronto in?

Over the last 5 games New York RB have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toronto 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB vs Toronto?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York RB vs Toronto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.