Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United play AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 66%, AFC Bournemouth 66%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 63%, AFC Bournemouth 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. Newcastle United: 12.9 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.8.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 76-90+ (13 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Newcastle holds a clear advantage in chance creation and quality of opportunities at home: average xG of 1.7 versus Bournemouth's 1.52, home goals per game 1.81 compared to Bournemouth's 1.56 away, and average shots on target 5.56 vs 4.94. Defensively the hosts concede 1.63 goals per home match long-term, while Bournemouth concede 2.00 goals on average away; additionally Newcastle failed to score in only 6% of home games, whereas Bournemouth failed to score in 19% of their away fixtures. In the last 5 matches the visitors have 1 win and 4 draws with an average of 1.4 points per game, while Newcastle in their last 5 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with an average of 0.8 points and have conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game). Considering the hosts' superiority in creating chances and better xG metrics, but also Bournemouth’s currently solid defence and their tendency to draw (44% draws away), I expect an even contest with a slight edge to Newcastle.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Bournemouth is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Newcastle United
Over / Under — AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.84 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newcastle United 0 - 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 1:2 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Newcastle United score 1.39 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.53. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Newcastle United's matches and 66% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.