Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 64% win rate at home and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts have scored 10 goals in their last 5 meetings, confirming their attacking potential. Aston Villa sits in 3rd place and shows stability with 2 points per match in the last 5 games; however, their away efficiency drops to 1.36 goals per match with 36% of matches ending without scoring. A key factor is the balanced xG level of both teams and the fact that Villa has a negative goal difference away (-1), whereas Newcastle has +7 at home. Considering Newcastle's strength at St. James' Park and Aston Villa's experience and class, I expect a close, tactical clash with a slight edge for the hosts, which may end in a share of the points.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Newcastle United played against Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Newcastle United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Aston Villa has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Newcastle United scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.23. Aston Villa scores 1.50 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Newcastle United's games and 55% of Aston Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 59%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Newcastle United has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.38 per game. Newcastle United takes 12.9 shots per game, while Aston Villa takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Newcastle United leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Aston Villa leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Newcastle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Aston Villa, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 64% win rate at home and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts have scored 10 goals in their last 5 meetings, confirming their attacking potential. Aston Villa sits in 3rd place and shows stability with 2 points per match in the last 5 games; however, their away efficiency drops to 1.36 goals per match with 36% of matches ending without scoring. A key factor is the balanced xG level of both teams and the fact that Villa has a negative goal difference away (-1), whereas Newcastle has +7 at home. Considering Newcastle's strength at St. James' Park and Aston Villa's experience and class, I expect a close, tactical clash with a slight edge for the hosts, which may end in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Newcastle United is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.4 pts / game - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.14 goals / game - Aston Villa
Newcastle United scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
Aston Villa scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newcastle United is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.18 pts / game - Aston Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Newcastle United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Aston Villa. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 0:2 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Newcastle United score 1.45 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Newcastle United's matches and 55% of Aston Villa's.
What form are Newcastle United and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aston Villa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.