Newcastle United vs Brentford: match statistics
Newcastle United show solid home form with a 58% win rate at their own stadium and a +5 goal difference, which represents a significant advantage over the visitors. Brentford have very poor away statistics – just a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -7, with 67% of their away matches ending in defeat. Newcastle score an average of 1.83 goals per home match with an xG of 1.70, while Brentford only score 1.08 goals away with an xG of 1.16, highlighting the hosts' offensive superiority. Recent form for both teams is mixed, but Newcastle has better possession stats (52% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency on their home ground. A key factor is also that Brentford have not recorded a single draw away this season, which suggests a decisive match outcome, and the statistics favor the hosts.
Newcastle United vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Newcastle United played against Brentford in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Newcastle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Brentford has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Newcastle United scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.38. Brentford scores 1.50 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Newcastle United's games and 50% of Brentford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Newcastle United has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.26 per game. Newcastle United takes 12.8 shots per game, while Brentford takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Newcastle United leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Brentford leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Newcastle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Brentford, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United show solid home form with a 58% win rate at their own stadium and a +5 goal difference, which represents a significant advantage over the visitors. Brentford have very poor away statistics – just a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -7, with 67% of their away matches ending in defeat. Newcastle score an average of 1.83 goals per home match with an xG of 1.70, while Brentford only score 1.08 goals away with an xG of 1.16, highlighting the hosts' offensive superiority. Recent form for both teams is mixed, but Newcastle has better possession stats (52% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency on their home ground. A key factor is also that Brentford have not recorded a single draw away this season, which suggests a decisive match outcome, and the statistics favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Brentford is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.8 pts / game - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.5 goals / game - Brentford
Newcastle United scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Brentford scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.46 pts / game - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Newcastle United
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.79 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Newcastle United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Brentford. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 2:3 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Newcastle United score 1.38 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Newcastle United's matches and 50% of Brentford's.
What form are Newcastle United and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brentford 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Newcastle United vs Brentford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.