Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: match statistics
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United play Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Brighton & Hove Albion: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.37 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 66%, Brighton & Hove Albion 55%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 63%, Brighton & Hove Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Newcastle United: 12.9 shots per match, Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.0.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66. Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 76-90+ (13 goals). Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2): Brighton have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (PPG 2.6), while Newcastle have lost all 5 most recent games, scoring 5 and conceding 14 (PPG 0). Newcastle’s attacking profile at home is notable — averaging 14.35 shots and 5.41 on target per game, home xG 1.69 and 1.76 goals scored — versus Brighton’s away figures of 11.82 shots, 4.12 on target, xG 1.39 and 1.24 goals. However, the hosts’ defense is vulnerable: Newcastle concede 1.65 goals per game at home and have conceded 14 in the last 5 (2.8 per game), while Brighton concede 1.29 away and only 3 in the last 5 (0.6 per game). Additionally Brighton have 29% away clean sheets versus 18% for the hosts, and Newcastle rarely fail to score at home (FTS 6% vs Brighton FTS 24%), which suggests the hosts will create chances but are exposed at the back. Considering Brighton’s form advantage and defensive stability, I assess a 55% probability of an away win, 25% draw and 20% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.2 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.21 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Newcastle United
Over / Under — Brighton & Hove Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newcastle United is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.18 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.84 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newcastle United 0 - 0 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 3:1 Brighton & Hove Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Newcastle United score 1.39 goals per game on average and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.37. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Newcastle United's matches and 55% of Brighton & Hove Albion's.
What form are Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.