Newcastle United vs Leeds United: match statistics
Newcastle United displays significantly better home form, boasting a 60% win rate at home and an impressive recent run. The hosts average 1.8 goals per home match with a 13% shot conversion rate, whereas Leeds averages a mere 0.8 goals on the road and fails to find the net in 50% of their away fixtures. The expected goals (xG) differential also favors Newcastle—1.66 xG for the hosts versus 1.2 xG for the visitors on their travels. Leeds holds a dismal 10% away win rate and a goal difference of -12 on foreign soil; combined with Newcastle's solid defense (30% clean sheets), this gives the hosts a distinct advantage. Recent form reinforces Newcastle's superiority—averaging 2 points per match in the last five games compared to Leeds' 1.4—making a home victory the most probable scenario.
Newcastle United vs Leeds United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Newcastle United played against Leeds United in Premier League (England). The game was played on January 7, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Newcastle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Leeds United has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Newcastle United scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.20. Leeds United scores 1.30 and allows 1.65. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Newcastle United's games and 65% of Leeds United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Newcastle United has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.40 per game. Newcastle United takes 12.7 shots per game, while Leeds United takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Newcastle United leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Leeds United leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Newcastle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Leeds United, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United displays significantly better home form, boasting a 60% win rate at home and an impressive recent run. The hosts average 1.8 goals per home match with a 13% shot conversion rate, whereas Leeds averages a mere 0.8 goals on the road and fails to find the net in 50% of their away fixtures. The expected goals (xG) differential also favors Newcastle—1.66 xG for the hosts versus 1.2 xG for the visitors on their travels. Leeds holds a dismal 10% away win rate and a goal difference of -12 on foreign soil; combined with Newcastle's solid defense (30% clean sheets), this gives the hosts a distinct advantage. Recent form reinforces Newcastle's superiority—averaging 2 points per match in the last five games compared to Leeds' 1.4—making a home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Newcastle United is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.3 goals / game - Leeds United
Newcastle United is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.65 goals / game - Leeds United
Newcastle United scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Leeds United scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Leeds United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newcastle United is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.25 pts / game - Leeds United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Newcastle United
Leeds United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.60 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Newcastle United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Leeds United. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Leeds United?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 4:3 Leeds United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Leeds United?
Newcastle United score 1.40 goals per game on average and Leeds United 1.30. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Newcastle United's matches and 65% of Leeds United's.
What form are Newcastle United and Leeds United in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Leeds United 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Leeds United?
The statistical background for Newcastle United vs Leeds United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.