Newcastle United vs Manchester United: match statistics
This match promises to be extremely tight. Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, averaging 1.86 goals per game. Manchester United is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, remaining unbeaten in that run; however, they draw 43% of their away fixtures, the highest draw rate in the league. Both sides share similar possession stats (53% vs 54%) and comparable xG values, indicating a balanced contest. Given the hosts' strong recent home performance and United's tendency to draw on the road, sharing the points seems the most likely scenario, though Newcastle holds a slight edge due to home advantage.
Newcastle United vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Newcastle United played against Manchester United in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Newcastle United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Manchester United has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Newcastle United scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.50. Manchester United scores 1.79 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Newcastle United's games and 71% of Manchester United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 57%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Manchester United has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.59 per game. Newcastle United takes 13.4 shots per game, while Manchester United takes 16.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Newcastle United leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Manchester United leads at halftime in 39% and scores 1.07 after halftime.
When the teams score
Newcastle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Manchester United, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be extremely tight. Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, averaging 1.86 goals per game. Manchester United is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, remaining unbeaten in that run; however, they draw 43% of their away fixtures, the highest draw rate in the league. Both sides share similar possession stats (53% vs 54%) and comparable xG values, indicating a balanced contest. Given the hosts' strong recent home performance and United's tendency to draw on the road, sharing the points seems the most likely scenario, though Newcastle holds a slight edge due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Manchester United is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Newcastle United · 2.6 pts / game - Manchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.79 goals / game - Manchester United
Manchester United is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.36 goals / game - Manchester United
Newcastle United scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Manchester United scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Manchester United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1.54 pts / game - Manchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Newcastle United
Manchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.93 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Newcastle United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Manchester United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 2:1 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
Newcastle United score 1.43 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.79. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Newcastle United's matches and 71% of Manchester United's.
What form are Newcastle United and Manchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Manchester United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
The statistical background for Newcastle United vs Manchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.