Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors: match statistics
Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newell's Old Boys played Boca Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Newell's Old Boys: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Boca Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newell's Old Boys scores 0.94 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Boca Juniors scores 1.41 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newell's Old Boys 56%, Boca Juniors 47%. Over 2.5: Newell's Old Boys 38%, Boca Juniors 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Boca Juniors has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.29. Newell's Old Boys: 10.5 shots per match, Boca Juniors: 13.1.
Match halves
Newell's Old Boys: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63. Boca Juniors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Newell's Old Boys: 76-90+ (9 goals). Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Boca Juniors are the favorites for this match: they average 1.56 goals away compared to just 0.78 goals for Newell's at home, and the visitors' shot conversion rate is 14% versus only 6% for the hosts. Newell's has a higher home xG (1.48) than their actual 0.78 goals scored, indicating significant inefficiency, while Boca's away xG is 1.40 and they actually score 1.56 goals, slightly exceeding expectations. The season record also favors Boca: 8 wins versus Newell's 4 and a positive away goal difference of +5 compared to the hosts' -3. Defensively Boca concedes 1.00 goal on average away and keeps 44% clean sheets, whereas Newell's concedes 1.11 at home with 33% clean sheets, suggesting greater defensive stability for the visitors. Although Newell's have scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per game in that period versus Boca's 4 goals and 1.4 points, the superiority in conversion (14% vs 6%), possession (56% vs 45%) and shots on target (4.67 vs 3.67) gives Boca Juniors a higher probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Newell at home concedes an average of 0.67 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of matches, with an average of 1.11 goals scored, indicating a strong defense and moderate attacking threat. Boca as the away side scores on average 1.56 goals per game and has a 14% conversion, but in the last 5 matches they have scored only 4 goals (0.8 per game) despite an average xG of 1.92, meaning they create chances that are not being converted. The season percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 44% for each team and 44% in the league, showing BTTS does not historically dominate this pairing. Additionally the league has a low average goals of 2.07, and Newell at home has Over2.5 in only 11% of matches, so home defensive edge and Boca’s recent poor finishing (0.8 goals from xG 1.92 in the last 5) argue in favor of No Goal / clean sheet expected.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: Newell's 67% and Boca 78%, and the total expected xG from a simple model (1.7 attacking xG for Newell and 1.36 xG conceded by Boca gives 1.53 for the home side; 1.4 attacking xG for Boca and 0.9 xG conceded by Newell gives 1.15 for the away side) is 2.68 xG, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Differences in goal distribution affect the 2.5 line — Boca has 67% of matches over 2.5 this season, while Newell only 11%, so Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (model ~58%). Over 3.5 looks unlikely: the seasonal share of Over 3.5 is only 11% for both teams and the combined xG 2.68 is well below the 3.5 threshold, so Under 3.5 is a clearer selection. Additionally, Boca has a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%) and in the last 5 matches generated 1.92 xG, while Newell recently conceded an average of 1.66 xG, which increases the risk of goals and confirms Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time/Full-Time X/2 (draw at the break, Boca Juniors win after the match) as the most probable scenario. Newell's were level at half-time in 78% of matches and average 0.33 goals in the first half, while Boca average 0.67 first-half goals — this favors a lead at the break being a draw with a low number of pre-break goals. Boca win as visitors in 56% of fixtures and have a seasonal average of 1.56 goals per match versus the home average of 1.11, and they are also more efficient (shot conversion 14% with xG 1.4 compared to Newell's 7% conversion with xG 1.7), which gives the away side a greater chance of converting chances into goals after the break. In second halves the visitors record 56% of wins versus 33% for hosts and have scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90 away compared to Newell's 2, meaning Boca more frequently produce a late turnaround. For these reasons I assign the highest weight to X/2, moderate chances to X/X and 2/2, and a lower probability to Newell's leading at half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newell's Old Boys | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boca Juniors is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 2 pts / match - Boca Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.41 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors is 138% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 0.71 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Newell's Old Boys scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Boca Juniors scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Newell's Old Boys keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Newell's Old Boys
Over / Under — Boca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boca Juniors is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.41 pts / match - Boca Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newell's Old Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newell's Old Boys
Boca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Newell's Old Boys | Liga | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.08 | • 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Newell's Old Boys 1 - 0 - 3 Boca Juniors. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?
The Primera División match finished Newell's Old Boys 2:2 Boca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 1, Boca Juniors won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?
Newell's Old Boys score 0.94 goals per game on average and Boca Juniors 1.41. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Newell's Old Boys's matches and 47% of Boca Juniors's.
What form are Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Newell's Old Boys have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Boca Juniors 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.