Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente: match statistics
Independiente presents significantly better form than Newell's Old Boys, which is a key factor in this prediction. In the last five matches, the visitors earned 2.6 points per match with an impressive record of four wins and one draw (wwwwd), while the hosts achieved a mere 0.6 points per match with four losses (llwll). The difference in offensive effectiveness is significant – Independiente scored 9 goals in the last five meetings, conceding only 1, which demonstrates excellent organization in both attack and defense. Newell's Old Boys, meanwhile, scored only 4 goals while conceding 7, indicating problems in both formations. Given the current disposition of both teams and the season record (Independiente: 1 draw, 0 losses; Newell's: 1 loss), the visitors are the clear favorite for this match.
Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newell's Old Boys play Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 28 January 2026 at 02:15. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Newell's Old Boys: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newell's Old Boys scores 0.94 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newell's Old Boys 56%, Independiente 71%. Over 2.5: Newell's Old Boys 38%, Independiente 41%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.29. Newell's Old Boys: 10.5 shots per match, Independiente: 12.7.
Match halves
Newell's Old Boys: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63. Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Newell's Old Boys: 76-90+ (9 goals). Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Independiente presents significantly better form than Newell's Old Boys, which is a key factor in this prediction. In the last five matches, the visitors earned 2.6 points per match with an impressive record of four wins and one draw (wwwwd), while the hosts achieved a mere 0.6 points per match with four losses (llwll). The difference in offensive effectiveness is significant – Independiente scored 9 goals in the last five meetings, conceding only 1, which demonstrates excellent organization in both attack and defense. Newell's Old Boys, meanwhile, scored only 4 goals while conceding 7, indicating problems in both formations. Given the current disposition of both teams and the season record (Independiente: 1 draw, 0 losses; Newell's: 1 loss), the visitors are the clear favorite for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newell's Old Boys | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newell's Old Boys is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.4 pts / match - Independiente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.47 goals / match - Independiente
Independiente is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.35 goals / match - Independiente
Newell's Old Boys scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Newell's Old Boys keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Newell's Old Boys
Over / Under — Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.24 pts / match - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newell's Old Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newell's Old Boys
Independiente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Newell's Old Boys | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newell's Old Boys 0 - 0 - 1 Independiente. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente?
The Primera División match finished Newell's Old Boys 1:1 Independiente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente?
Newell's Old Boys score 0.94 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.47. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Newell's Old Boys's matches and 71% of Independiente's.
What form are Newell's Old Boys and Independiente in?
Over the last 5 games Newell's Old Boys have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Independiente 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente?
The statistical background for Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.