Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United: match statistics
Niger Tornadoes display impressive home form with a 64% win rate, averaging 1.71 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.5. A +17 goal difference in home games and a 71% clean sheet rate underscore the hosts' solid defensive organization. Despite leading the table, Rivers United have poor away results—only a 14% win rate, with 43% of their away matches ending scoreless and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors' recent form (lwwll) and their lengthy away sequence of draws and defeats (ddddwdwldddlll) offer little cause for optimism. The hosts' superior xG values (1.95 vs 1.01), coupled with a significant advantage in shooting accuracy and ball possession at their home ground, strongly favor a Niger Tornadoes victory. Given Rivers United's weakness on the road and the home side's dominance in their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a home win.
Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Niger Tornadoes played against Rivers United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 19, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Niger Tornadoes has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Rivers United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Niger Tornadoes scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 0.97. Rivers United scores 0.97 and allows 0.62. Games in this league average 1.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 28% of Niger Tornadoes's games and 38% of Rivers United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 24%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Niger Tornadoes has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.41 per game. Niger Tornadoes takes 8.5 shots per game, while Rivers United takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Rivers United leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Niger Tornadoes's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Rivers United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.88 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Niger Tornadoes display impressive home form with a 64% win rate, averaging 1.71 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.5. A +17 goal difference in home games and a 71% clean sheet rate underscore the hosts' solid defensive organization. Despite leading the table, Rivers United have poor away results—only a 14% win rate, with 43% of their away matches ending scoreless and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors' recent form (lwwll) and their lengthy away sequence of draws and defeats (ddddwdwldddlll) offer little cause for optimism. The hosts' superior xG values (1.95 vs 1.01), coupled with a significant advantage in shooting accuracy and ball possession at their home ground, strongly favor a Niger Tornadoes victory. Given Rivers United's weakness on the road and the home side's dominance in their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a home win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Niger Tornadoes | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rivers United is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.2 pts / game - Rivers United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 0.97 goals / game - Rivers United
Rivers United is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 0.62 goals / game - Rivers United
Niger Tornadoes scores in 59% of games (17 of 29 meczów), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 meczów).
Rivers United scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
Over / Under - Rivers United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Niger Tornadoes is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.03 pts / game - Rivers United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Rivers United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Niger Tornadoes
Rivers United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Niger Tornadoes | Liga | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.00 | 1.88 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 37% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 38% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Niger Tornadoes's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rivers United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United?
The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 1:0 Rivers United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United?
Niger Tornadoes score 1.03 goals per game on average and Rivers United 0.97. The NPFL average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 38% of Rivers United's.
What form are Niger Tornadoes and Rivers United in?
Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rivers United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.