Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: match statistics

Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Niger Tornadoes play Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 26%, Shooting Stars 39%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 32%, Shooting Stars 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.25. Niger Tornadoes: 8.9 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 6.8.

Match halves

Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict a home win (1): Niger Tornadoes possess a clear home-field advantage, averaging 15.19 shots and 5.19 shots on target per match, translating to 1.61 goals scored and only 0.50 conceded per home game. The home defence is solid — 72% of home matches end in a clean sheet, and their average home xG is 1.92 versus opponents’ xG 1.29, indicating superiority in quality of chances. Visitors Shooting Stars sit higher in the table (3rd) with 18 wins this season, but on the road they score just 0.44 goals per game, register 67% of matches without scoring and have a low conversion rate of 4%, while conceding 1.39 goals away, which undermines their attacking threat away from home. Form is mixed: Niger have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches and have failed to win any (0W, 3D, 2L), whereas Shooting Stars have 3 wins in their last 5 and PPG 2.0, but their away loss rate is 67%. Considering the hosts’ defensive solidity and home xG advantage, I assign a 61% probability to a Niger Tornadoes win, 22% to a draw and 17% to a Shooting Stars victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
17Shots4
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
3Shots on target0
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
1.75xG0.53
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
7Corners1
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
64Dangerous attacks36
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
9Fouls25
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0Cards0
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.97Goals scored / match1.08
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.95Goals conceded / match1.05
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
39%Average possession36%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
2.74Shots on target / match1.95
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.89Shots per match6.82
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
2.74Shots on target1.95
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
10.9%Shot conversion15.8%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
39%Possession36%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
1.52xG for1.25
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
1.52xG against1.18
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedShooting Stars: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)31%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.55

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Shooting Stars is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 2 pts / match - Shooting Stars

Niger Tornadoes
DLDDW
Season result split
34% W24% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-9-16
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-6-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Shooting Stars
DWWWL
Season result split
47% W16% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-6-14
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-13
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shooting Stars is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.08 goals / match - Shooting Stars

Niger Tornadoes is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.05 goals / match - Shooting Stars

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: strong

Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

Shooting Stars scoring profile: mixed

Shooting Stars scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)41
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
36Goals conceded (season)40
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
1.92Average goals in match2.13
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal61%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
26%2 goals32%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
8%3 goals13%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
5%4 goals3%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal74%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
34%2 goals24%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
5%3 goals5%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time18%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
3%BTTS in both halves8%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
16%Scored in both halves24%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
20%BTTS - last 540%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.37 pts / match - Shooting Stars

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Shooting Stars - half-time state
34% leading34% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.37
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.08
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
63%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
68%No goal before half-time55%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
1Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
63%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars
58%No goal after half-time61%
Niger TornadoesShooting Stars

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
46
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shooting Stars - second-half results

21% W55% R24% P
52
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Shooting Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.03
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
186%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaShooting Stars
Average goals in match 1.922.02 2.13
Both teams scored 26%38% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%34% 34%
Clean sheets 45%37% 26%
Goal before half-time 63%61% 74%
Goal after half-time 66%64% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Niger Tornadoes 0 - 0 - 1 Shooting Stars. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?

The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?

Niger Tornadoes score 0.97 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.08. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 39% of Shooting Stars's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Shooting Stars in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?

The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.