Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Niger Tornadoes played against Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on May 24, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Niger Tornadoes has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Shooting Stars has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 0.97. Shooting Stars scores 1.11 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Niger Tornadoes's games and 41% of Shooting Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 35%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Niger Tornadoes has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.28 per game. Niger Tornadoes takes 8.7 shots per game, while Shooting Stars takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Shooting Stars leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Niger Tornadoes's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Shooting Stars, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 2.00 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Niger Tornadoes possess a clear home-field advantage, averaging 15.19 shots and 5.19 shots on target per match, translating to 1.61 goals scored and only 0.50 conceded per home game. The home defense is solid — 72% of home matches end in a clean sheet, and their average home xG is 1.92 versus opponents’ xG 1.29, indicating superiority in quality of chances. Visitors Shooting Stars sit higher in the table (3rd) with 18 wins this season, but on the road they score just 0.44 goals per game, register 67% of matches without scoring and have a low conversion rate of 4%, while conceding 1.39 goals away, which undermines their attacking threat away from home. Form is mixed: Niger have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches and have failed to win any (0W, 3D, 2L), whereas Shooting Stars have 3 wins in their last 5 and PPG 2.0, but their away loss rate is 67%. Considering the hosts’ defensive solidity and home xG advantage, I assign a 61% probability to a Niger Tornadoes win, 22% to a draw and 17% to a Shooting Stars victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back “No” (both teams not to score) because Shooting Stars failed to score in 67% of their matches this season and average just 0.44 goals away. Niger Tornadoes average 1.74 goals at home, register 11 shots per match with 3.6 on target and have a season shot conversion of 15%, so the home side should create chances. xG analysis shows the hosts have xG 1.43 versus Shooting Stars’ average xG_against 1.57, while the visitors have xG_for 1.13 versus the hosts’ xG_against 0.78 — this indicates a solid potential for the home side to score, but not necessarily both teams. In the last 5 matches Niger have scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game) and had BTTS in 20% of those games, whereas Shooting Stars scored 6 in 5 (1.2 per game) with 40% BTTS, producing a mixed form picture. Considering season rates of 53% BTTS for hosts vs 28% for away, the very high share of scoreless matches for Shooting Stars (67%) and the league BTTS trend of 38% with 74% of matches featuring at least one clean sheet, I assess a 70% probability of No BTTS and 30% for BTTS (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Home side average 1.74 goals per match, visitors 0.44; sum of seasonal goals per game is 2.18, while combined attacking xG equals 1.43 + 1.13 = 2.56 xG. If we compare attacking xG with opponents’ xG against (xG against Shooting Stars = 1.57, xG against Niger = 0.78) and average them, we get an expected 1.50 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 0.96 for Shooting Stars, totaling 2.46 expected goals. With that value the probabilistic model gives ~70% chance for Over 1.5, ~44% for Over 2.5 and ~23% for Over 3.5. Additionally, hosts average 11.0 shots and 3.6 shots on target at 15% conversion, while Shooting Stars have 9.18 shots and 2.82 on target at 4% conversion; historically the hosts have 47% of matches Over 2.5, visitors 22%, which lowers confidence in Over 2.5. For these reasons the strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5), since the combined xG ≈2.56 and the hosts’ shooting profile favor at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a clear advantage for Niger Tornadoes: the hosts have won 79% of matches this season and average 1.74 goals per game versus 0.44 for Shooting Stars, with an average of 2.53 points per home match compared to 0.67 for away. At Half-Time the hosts led in 12 matches (63%) and average 0.95 goals by the break versus 0.17 for opponents, while conceding 0.32 goals by Half-Time compared to 0.72 for visitors, which strongly supports the hosts leading at Half-Time. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.43 versus 1.13 for the guests, xG against 0.78 versus 1.57, with 3.6 shots on target against 2.82 and a conversion rate of 15% vs 4% — the hosts create and finish chances better. Considering a 63% chance to lead at the break and the season-long 79% home win rate, the strongest signal is maintaining the lead and ultimately winning, so I select 1/1 (53%). Alternatively I account for a draw at Half-Time followed by a home win (x/1 17%) or a draw for the final result (x/x 10%); a turnaround by Shooting Stars remains unlikely (1/2 2%, 2/2 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Niger Tornadoes | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shooting Stars is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 2 pts / game - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.11 goals / game - Shooting Stars
Niger Tornadoes is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.05 goals / game - Shooting Stars
Niger Tornadoes scores in 57% of games (21 of 37 meczów), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 meczów).
Shooting Stars scores in 62% of games (23 of 37 meczów), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 43% (16 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes · 1.41 pts / game - Shooting Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 49%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Niger Tornadoes
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Niger Tornadoes | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.95 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 32% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 37% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Niger Tornadoes's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Shooting Stars. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
Niger Tornadoes score 0.97 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.11. The NPFL average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 41% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Niger Tornadoes and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.