Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nõmme Kalju played against Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 7:1.
Recent form
Nõmme Kalju has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Nõmme United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 0.43. Nõmme United scores 2.43 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Nõmme Kalju's games and 86% of Nõmme United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 86%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.64 per game. Nõmme Kalju takes 13.9 shots per game, while Nõmme United takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme United leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nõmme Kalju's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Nõmme United, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match favorites are the hosts Nõmme Kalju: at home they average 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game, register 13.33 shots with 5.33 on target and have 58% possession. Nõmme United away score only 0.67 goals per game with 9.33 shots and 3.33 on target, have a conversion rate around 7% and concede 2.33 goals on average; they have yet to record an away win (0% wins) and have no clean sheets (0%). In the last 5 matches Kalju have a 3-1-1 record, scoring 9 and conceding 3 goals and averaging 2 points per game, while United over the same period are 1-1-3 with 10 scored and 10 conceded and average 0.8 points per game. xG confirms the hosts’ advantage: average xG for Kalju is 1.74 versus 1.29 for United, and xG against 1.57 versus 2.02 shows the visitors create less valuable chances. Due to superior conversion (18% vs 7%), more stable defending and possession dominance I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS is the seasonal percentage of matches with both teams scoring: Nõmme Kalju has 100% BTTS, and Nõmme United 67%, with both teams having 0% clean sheets this season, which strongly favors both sides scoring. Offensive metrics confirm goal pressure: Kalju averages 3.75 goals per match this season with xG 1.90, records 14.75 shots (6.75 on target) and has a 25% conversion, while United averages 9.33 shots (3.33 on target) with a 7% conversion and has xG against 2.02, indicating a risk of conceding. Defensive data points to an open game — Kalju concedes 1.75 goals per match on average, United concedes 2.33, and the league average goals is 3.11, further increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Last 5 matches give a mixed signal: United has 100% BTTS and scores an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5, whereas Kalju has only 40% BTTS and concedes an average of 0.6 goals in their last 5, which weakens the home advantage but does not negate seasonal trends. Considering seasonal BTTS 100% vs 67%, 0% clean sheets for both teams, and higher xG and more frequent goals conceded by United (xG against 2.02, conceding 2.33), I tip BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 78% versus 22% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nõmme Kalju scores an average of 3.75 goals at home with xG 1.9, while Nõmme United averages 0.67 goals away with xG 1.29 — combined xG ≈3.19. Season-long metrics show the home side has 100% of matches over 1.5 and 100% over 2.5, and the away side 100% over 1.5 and 67% over 2.5; the league averages 63% of matches over 2.5. In the last 5 matches the combined xG is 3.23 (1.73 + 1.5), and actual goals in the last 5 are 19 (9 home, 10 away) — an average of 3.8 goals per match, which reinforces an over signal. The mix of a high-scoring home attack (3.75 goals), 100% home over2.5 rate and combined xG ≈3.2 yields a strong probability of at least 3 goals, therefore I assess Over 2.5 at 82%. Over 1.5 is virtually certain (99%), while Over 3.5 has a moderate chance around 60% due to xG being below 3.5 despite the home team often exceeding that threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal figures show a clear advantage for Nõmme Kalju: the home side averages 3.75 goals per match versus 0.67 for the opponents and records 1.75 goals at half-time compared to 0.0 for Nõmme United (12 HT goals vs 3), so a home lead at the break is realistic. The quality gap in chances is visible in xG 1.90 vs 1.29, 6.75 shots on target vs 3.33 and conversion rates of 25% vs 7%, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead and converting additional chances. Additionally, the hosts led at half-time in 50% of matches, and after the break they score an average of 2.0 goals and have a +6 goal differential in second halves, which supports a scenario of extending the lead. Form confirms this in practice — in the last five matches the hosts have won 60% of games while the visitors only 20% — therefore my primary pick is 1/1 (lead at half-time and home win), with X/1 or X/X considered as lower-probability alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nõmme Kalju is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 0.8 pts / game - Nõmme United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 2.43 goals / game - Nõmme United
Nõmme Kalju is 365% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.43 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 2 goals / game - Nõmme United
Nõmme Kalju scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
Nõmme United scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.29 pts / game - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 3.06 | ▲ 4.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 56% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 61% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 7:1 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.57 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 2.43. The Meistriliiga average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 86% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nõmme United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.