Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 50%, Tallinna FC Flora 42%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 40%, Tallinna FC Flora 79%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.79. Nõmme Kalju: 15.0 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Nõmme Kalju has a clear attacking edge at home: they average 3.0 goals per home match with an average xG of 2.04, take 17.4 shots per game including 6.8 on target, and their shot conversion rate at home is 17%. Tallinna FC Flora are highly inefficient away — averaging just 0.75 goals per away match, with 50% of away games ending without a goal, while averaging 15 shots and 4.5 on target and an xG of 1.86. Defensively Kalju concede an average of 1.0 goals at home, whereas Flora concede 2.5 goals on the road and have a negative away goal difference (-7), indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. The guests do have a good overall run in their last five matches — 4 wins and 14 goals scored and an average of 2.4 points per game in that period — but those numbers do not translate into away stability (25% away wins and 75% away defeats). Considering the better conversion, higher number of shots on target and the lower average goals conceded by the home side, I tip a Nõmme Kalju victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme Kalju is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 3.11 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nõmme Kalju 3 - 0 - 2 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 0:1 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 3, Tallinna FC Flora won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.65 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.05. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.