Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 50%, Vaprus 65%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 40%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.14. Nõmme Kalju: 15.0 shots per match, Vaprus: 8.4.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite: they sit 1st with a season record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and a goal difference of 18:4, while Vaprus are 9th with 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses and a 7:17 record. The hosts average 3.5 goals at home and 15.75 shots per match (6.75 on target), whereas the visitors average 0.8 goals away with 6 shots and 2.2 on target; finishing efficiency is 22% versus 13% in Kalju’s favor. xG values confirm the advantage in chance quality: Kalju have an average home xG of 1.96, Vaprus only 0.86 away, while the hosts concede on average 0.75 goals and the visitors concede 2.6 goals on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts — in their last five matches Kalju have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per match), while Vaprus have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 points per match). Considering the superiority in chance volume (15.75 vs 6), better xG (1.96 vs 0.86) and significantly lower goals conceded (0.75 vs 2.6), I assess the home win probability at around 78%, draw 12% and away win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.4 goals / match - Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju is 137% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.9 goals / match - Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under — Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.25 pts / match - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nõmme Kalju 2 - 1 - 2 Vaprus. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 1:2 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Vaprus won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.65 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.40. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 65% of Vaprus's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Vaprus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.