Nõmme United vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Nõmme United vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme United play Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Kuressaare 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme United has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.43. Nõmme United: 11.9 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.4.
Match halves
Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20. Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Pick: 1 — Nõmme United has a clear offensive edge and superior chance quality: at home they average 3.75 goals per game with 14.75 shots and 6.75 on target, while Kuressaare away averages only 0.75 goals with 10.25 shots and 3.75 on target. Nõmme’s finishing rate at home is 25% versus Kuressaare’s 7%, and average xG is 1.9 for the hosts and 1.36 for the visitors, confirming higher quality of home chances. At the same time Nõmme’s recent defensive form is worse — they conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per game) versus Kuressaare’s 7 conceded (1.4 per game) and collect only 0.8 points per game in that period, while Kuressaare have 1.2 points per game. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away matches and concede 2.25 goals on average away, whereas the hosts concede 1.75 at home, so I expect an open game with a shooting advantage for Nõmme. Based on this I assign probabilities: home 62%, draw 22%, away 16%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme United | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme United is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare
Kuressaare is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.65 goals / match - Kuressaare
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme United
Over / Under — Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme United is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme United | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 90% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 95% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nõmme United 1 - 0 - 1 Kuressaare. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 2:1 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Kuressaare?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 1, Kuressaare won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
Nõmme United score 1.95 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 0.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Nõmme United's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Nõmme United and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kuressaare 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.