Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme United play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 17 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Männiku staadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.50. Nõmme United: 11.9 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8.
Match halves
Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorite is Tallinna FC Levadia: the visitors sit 1st with a record of 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses and 42 goals this season, while Nõmme United are 8th with 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses. Levadia arrive in excellent form — 5 wins in their last 5 matches, 16 goals in those fixtures (avg. 3.2 goals/match) and an average of 3 points per match, whereas Nõmme have 1 win and 4 losses, scoring 6 goals (1.2/match) and averaging 0.6 points per match in their last 5. In offensive and defensive metrics the visitors have a clear edge: Levadia’s away xG is 2.56 with xG against 1.05, while Nõmme at home have xG for 1.67 and xG against 2.03; the hosts concede 2.14 goals per home match, whereas Levadia concede only 0.88 away. Levadia average 22 shots and 7.88 on target per away match versus Nõmme’s 12.86 shots and 5.29 on target at home, and the fact Levadia have 0% goalless away matches vs. 14% FTS for the hosts makes the visitors significantly more dangerous. Given this, I tip an away win ('2') with a probability of 75%; draw 15%; home win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme United | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 174% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme United
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme United | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 90% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 95% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nõmme United 0 - 1 - 0 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 1:2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Nõmme United score 1.95 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.58. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Nõmme United's matches and 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The statistical background for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.