Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Nõmme United vs Tammeka: match statistics

Nõmme United crest
Nõmme United
2 : 3half-time 2:2
Tammeka crest
Tammeka
175%(2.32)
X15%(3.60)
210%(2.55)

Nõmme United holds a decisive advantage in this encounter, particularly in home matches where they have a 100% win rate, averaging as many as 7 goals scored per game. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table and stand out with an impressive shot conversion rate (37%) and possession advantage (56%). Tammeka is in last 10th place, has not won any away match this season, and is losing all away fixtures, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG: 2.5 vs 1.28) and the form of both teams (wwllw vs llwll) further confirm the hosts' dominance. Considering all statistics, a victory for Nõmme United is highly probable, although Tammeka's team is capable of scoring goals, which might somewhat limit the hosts' advantage.

Nõmme United vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nõmme United play Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tammeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.17 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Tammeka 50%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Tammeka 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tammeka has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.50. Nõmme United: 11.9 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.9.

Match halves

Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20. Tammeka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tammeka: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Nõmme United holds a decisive advantage in this encounter, particularly in home matches where they have a 100% win rate, averaging as many as 7 goals scored per game. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table and stand out with an impressive shot conversion rate (37%) and possession advantage (56%). Tammeka is in last 10th place, has not won any away match this season, and is losing all away fixtures, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG: 2.5 vs 1.28) and the form of both teams (wwllw vs llwll) further confirm the hosts' dominance. Considering all statistics, a victory for Nõmme United is highly probable, although Tammeka's team is capable of scoring goals, which might somewhat limit the hosts' advantage.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
11Shots17
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
5Shots on target9
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.58xG2.15
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
9Corners6
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
74Dangerous attacks64
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
12Fouls9
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
3Cards3
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.95Goals scored / match1.17
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
2.3Goals conceded / match1.44
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
47%Average possession51%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
4.05Shots on target / match4.78
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.95Shots per match13.89
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
4.05Shots on target4.78
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
16.3%Shot conversion8.4%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
47%Possession51%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.5xG for1.6
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.98xG against1.6
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingTammeka: Balanced
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tammeka is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 2 pts / match - Tammeka

Nõmme United
LWLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tammeka
DWWWL
Season result split
44% W11% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-8
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.17 goals / match - Tammeka

Tammeka is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.44 goals / match - Tammeka

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Tammeka scoring profile: very strong

Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).

39Goals scored (season)21
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
46Goals conceded (season)26
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
4.25Average goals in match2.61
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
10Goals scored (last 5)6
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal67%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
50%2 goals33%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
25%3 goals17%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
10%4 goals0%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal72%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
65%2 goals33%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
40%3 goals22%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
10%4 goals11%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time33%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
25%Scored in both halves17%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

BTTS and goal count

85%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
100%BTTS - last 560%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme United is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.89 pts / match - Tammeka

Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Tammeka - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.89
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.15Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.44
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
20%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
45%No goal before half-time67%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.56
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
1.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
2.35Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
25%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
40%No goal after half-time50%
Nõmme UnitedTammeka

Nõmme United - second-half results

35% W25% R40% P
20
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tammeka - second-half results

39% W39% R22% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
7
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
0
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
169%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaTammeka
Average goals in match 4.253.11 2.61
Both teams scored 90%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 95%66% 56%
Clean sheets 0%23% 28%
Goal before half-time 95%74% 61%
Goal after half-time 95%88% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nõmme United 0 - 0 - 1 Tammeka. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Nõmme United vs Tammeka?

The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 2:3 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Tammeka?

Nõmme United score 1.95 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.17. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Nõmme United's matches and 50% of Tammeka's.

What form are Nõmme United and Tammeka in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tammeka 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Tammeka?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.