North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II: match statistics
North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
North Texas played against Houston Dynamo FC II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on September 10, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
North Texas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Houston Dynamo FC II has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
North Texas scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.44. Houston Dynamo FC II scores 1.92 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 3.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of North Texas's games and 56% of Houston Dynamo FC II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 60%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Houston Dynamo FC II has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.56 per game. North Texas takes 12.6 shots per game, while Houston Dynamo FC II takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
North Texas leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Houston Dynamo FC II leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
North Texas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Houston Dynamo FC II, it is minutes 16-30 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.34 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
North Texas have a clear home advantage: they average 2.08 goals per match at home, with 1.83 xG, while Houston Dynamo FC II concede an average of 1.50 goals away from home and allow opponents 1.88 xG. The hosts also register slightly more shots (14.33 vs. 13.67) and shots on target (6.08 vs. 5.92), with a conversion rate of 15% compared to the visitors’ 13%. Houston sit much higher in the table and have conceded only 28 goals across the season, compared to North Texas’ 36, but current form favors the hosts: the visitors have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals and losing 3 times. North Texas have also drawn frequently, with 3 of their last 5 matches ending level, so a draw remains a realistic scenario. However, Houston’s poor run and the hosts’ attacking numbers slightly tilt the prediction in favor of North Texas.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A scenario in which both teams score is slightly more likely, as Houston Dynamo FC II have scored in every match this season, while North Texas average 2.00 goals per game. The visitors have a very high seasonal BTTS rate of 83%, contrasting with 31% for the hosts, but their defense concedes an average of 1.50 goals. North Texas create an average of 1.77 xG, while Houston average 1.65 xG, with similarly high numbers of shots on target: 5.69 and 5.92 per match, respectively. The main argument against this pick is the hosts’ solid defense, which concedes only 0.77 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in 46% of matches, while the visitors have scored just 0.60 goals per game across their last five matches. Despite Houston’s weaker recent scoring form, their consistent season-long scoring record and the vulnerability of the visitors’ defense point slightly towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
North Texas score an average of 2.00 goals per match this season, while Houston Dynamo FC II concede 1.50, creating favorable conditions for the home side. The visitors average 1.83 goals scored, but North Texas have the more solid defense, allowing just 0.77 goals per game, which lowers their projected offensive output. The 1.5 line has been covered in 100% of North Texas matches and 92% of Houston's games, making it by far the strongest signal in the data. Additionally, the average xG stands at 1.77 for the home side and 1.65 for the visitors, while both teams record more than 11 shots on target combined per match. Although the last five outings have produced lower finishing efficiency, the projected total of 2.80 goals still clearly supports Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a North Texas win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and have not taken the lead once. Over the course of the season, however, North Texas have shown a clear quality advantage: they average 2.00 goals scored and concede just 0.77, while Houston Dynamo FC II concede 1.50 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of their games. After the break, the visitors are particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.17 goals—and as many as 1.40 across their last five matches—while losing the second half in 100% of those games. North Texas also have the better xG, 1.77 compared with 1.65, and a significantly stronger season record: they win 62% of their matches, whereas their opponents win only 42%, and Houston Dynamo FC II have failed to win any of their last five games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| North Texas | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
North Texas is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - North Texas · 0.4 pts / game - Houston Dynamo FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - North Texas · 1.92 goals / game - Houston Dynamo FC II
Houston Dynamo FC II is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - North Texas · 1.12 goals / game - Houston Dynamo FC II
North Texas scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 games), while Houston Dynamo FC II keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 games).
Houston Dynamo FC II scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 games), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - North Texas
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo FC II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - North Texas · 1.92 pts / game - Houston Dynamo FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Houston Dynamo FC II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
North Texas
Houston Dynamo FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| North Texas | Liga | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.34 | ▼ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from North Texas's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Houston Dynamo FC II. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished North Texas 2:3 Houston Dynamo FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between North Texas and Houston Dynamo FC II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches North Texas won 1, Houston Dynamo FC II won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
North Texas score 1.56 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo FC II 1.92. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 56% of North Texas's matches and 56% of Houston Dynamo FC II's.
What form are North Texas and Houston Dynamo FC II in?
Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Houston Dynamo FC II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for North Texas vs Houston Dynamo FC II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.