United States - MLS Next ProData current as of September 04, 2026

North Texas vs Real Monarchs: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

North Texas vs Real Monarchs: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

North Texas plays Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026.

Recent form

North Texas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Real Monarchs has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

North Texas scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 1.46. Real Monarchs scores 1.46 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of North Texas's games and 54% of Real Monarchs's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 75%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Real Monarchs has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.50 per game. North Texas takes 12.1 shots per game, while Real Monarchs takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

North Texas leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Real Monarchs leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

North Texas's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Real Monarchs, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS Next Pro games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

North TexasReal Monarchs
1.46Goals scored / game1.46
North TexasReal Monarchs
1.46Goals allowed / game1.92
North TexasReal Monarchs
48%Average possession52%
North TexasReal Monarchs
4.67Shots on target / game5
North TexasReal Monarchs

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.13Shots per game13.38
North TexasReal Monarchs
4.67Shots on target5
North TexasReal Monarchs
12%Shot conversion10.9%
North TexasReal Monarchs
48%Possession52%
North TexasReal Monarchs
1.5xG for1.54
North TexasReal Monarchs
1.86xG against1.57
North TexasReal Monarchs

Shooting quality

North Texas: BalancedReal Monarchs: Balanced
North TexasReal Monarchs
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

North Texas is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - North Texas · 0.6 pts / game - Real Monarchs

North Texas
WLDDD
Season result split
29% W38% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-9-8
1.25 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Real Monarchs
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W17% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-13
1.04 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

North Texas is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.46 goals / game - North Texas · 1.92 goals / game - Real Monarchs

North Texas scoring profile: very strong

North Texas scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).

Real Monarchs scoring profile: very strong

Real Monarchs scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).

35Goals scored (season)35
North TexasReal Monarchs
35Goals conceded (season)46
North TexasReal Monarchs
2.92Average goals per game3.38
North TexasReal Monarchs
5Goals scored (last 5)4
North TexasReal Monarchs
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
North TexasReal Monarchs

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
North TexasReal Monarchs
46%2 goals46%
North TexasReal Monarchs
21%3 goals21%
North TexasReal Monarchs
8%4 goals8%
North TexasReal Monarchs

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal88%
North TexasReal Monarchs
42%2 goals58%
North TexasReal Monarchs
8%3 goals38%
North TexasReal Monarchs
4%4 goals8%
North TexasReal Monarchs

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time17%
North TexasReal Monarchs
4%BTTS in both halves4%
North TexasReal Monarchs
25%Scored in both halves29%
North TexasReal Monarchs

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
North TexasReal Monarchs
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
North TexasReal Monarchs
60%BTTS - last 520%
North TexasReal Monarchs

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
North TexasReal Monarchs
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
North TexasReal Monarchs
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
North TexasReal Monarchs

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
North TexasReal Monarchs
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
North TexasReal Monarchs
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time54%
North TexasReal Monarchs

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

North Texas - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Real Monarchs - half-time state
29% leading33% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.21
North TexasReal Monarchs
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.58
North TexasReal Monarchs
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
North TexasReal Monarchs
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.25
North TexasReal Monarchs
54%Clean sheet before half-time54%
North TexasReal Monarchs
63%No goal before half-time54%
North TexasReal Monarchs

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)0.96
North TexasReal Monarchs
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
North TexasReal Monarchs
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
North TexasReal Monarchs
1.71Average goals (2nd half)2.13
North TexasReal Monarchs
46%Clean sheet after half-time25%
North TexasReal Monarchs
46%No goal after half-time50%
North TexasReal Monarchs

North Texas - second-half results

29% W38% R33% P
30
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Real Monarchs - second-half results

29% W8% R63% P
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

North Texas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Real Monarchs - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.60
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.6
Average goals per game0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

North Texas
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
9
7
31-45
5
8
46-60
7
4
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Real Monarchs
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
7
16-30
5
8
31-45
6
12
46-60
6
7
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.15
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

North Texas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Real Monarchs

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

North TexasLigaReal Monarchs
Average goals per game 2.923.33 3.38
Both teams scored 54%62% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%67% 75%
Clean sheets 17%21% 13%
Goal before half-time 63%77% 75%
Goal after half-time 75%85% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / game
1.43
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from North Texas's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Real Monarchs. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Real Monarchs
2 : 2
North Texas
North Texas SC
2 : 4
Real Monarchs SLC

FAQ

When do North Texas and Real Monarchs play?

North Texas face Real Monarchs on September 5, 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between North Texas and Real Monarchs?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches North Texas won 0, Real Monarchs won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs Real Monarchs?

North Texas score 1.46 goals per game on average and Real Monarchs 1.46. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 54% of North Texas's matches and 54% of Real Monarchs's.

What form are North Texas and Real Monarchs in?

Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Real Monarchs 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.