North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance: match statistics
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North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
North Texas play Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Toyota Stadium.
Current form
North Texas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tacoma Defiance: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
North Texas scores 1.58 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Tacoma Defiance scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: North Texas 53%, Tacoma Defiance 48%. Over 2.5: North Texas 53%, Tacoma Defiance 57%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
North Texas has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.39. North Texas: 11.3 shots per match, Tacoma Defiance: 11.9.
Match halves
North Texas: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.95. Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
North Texas: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| North Texas | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tacoma Defiance is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - North Texas · 2.4 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
North Texas is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - North Texas · 1.38 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Tacoma Defiance is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - North Texas · 1.38 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
North Texas scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Tacoma Defiance scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — North Texas
Over / Under — Tacoma Defiance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
North Texas is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - North Texas · 1.24 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
North Texas
Tacoma Defiance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| North Texas | Liga | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.11 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: North Texas 1 - 0 - 0 Tacoma Defiance. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do North Texas and Tacoma Defiance play?
North Texas face Tacoma Defiance on 9 August 2026 in MLS Next Pro at Toyota Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
North Texas score 1.58 goals per game on average and Tacoma Defiance 1.38. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 53% of North Texas's matches and 48% of Tacoma Defiance's.
What form are North Texas and Tacoma Defiance in?
Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tacoma Defiance 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
The statistical background for North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.