Northampton Town vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this fixture. Northampton Town may occupy a lower position in the table (23rd place), but they are playing at home, where they have a 33% win rate and score an average of 1.06 goals per game. Burton Albion shows poor away form with only a 17% win rate on the road and an average of 1.56 goals conceded. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Northampton has earned only 0.2 PPG in their last five matches, while Burton is slightly better with 1.0 PPG. A key factor is Burton's high draw percentage away from home (39%), which, combined with the hosts' poor disposition, suggests a sharing of the points. The xG statistics are close for both teams, further confirming the prediction of a draw.
Northampton Town vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Northampton Town played against Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Northampton Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Burton Albion has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Northampton Town scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.33. Burton Albion scores 1.08 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Northampton Town's games and 44% of Burton Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 56%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.13 per game. Northampton Town takes 9.3 shots per game, while Burton Albion takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Northampton Town leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Burton Albion leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Northampton Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Burton Albion, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this fixture. Northampton Town may occupy a lower position in the table (23rd place), but they are playing at home, where they have a 33% win rate and score an average of 1.06 goals per game. Burton Albion shows poor away form with only a 17% win rate on the road and an average of 1.56 goals conceded. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Northampton has earned only 0.2 PPG in their last five matches, while Burton is slightly better with 1.0 PPG. A key factor is Burton's high draw percentage away from home (39%), which, combined with the hosts' poor disposition, suggests a sharing of the points. The xG statistics are close for both teams, further confirming the prediction of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Northampton Town | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Burton Albion is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Northampton Town · 1 pts / game - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Northampton Town · 1.08 goals / game - Burton Albion
Northampton Town is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Northampton Town · 1.42 goals / game - Burton Albion
Northampton Town scores in 56% of games (20 of 36 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 meczów).
Burton Albion scores in 61% of games (22 of 36 meczów), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Northampton Town
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / game - Northampton Town · 1.14 pts / game - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Northampton Town
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Northampton Town | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.19 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Northampton Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Burton Albion. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Northampton Town 0:2 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
Northampton Town score 0.86 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.08. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Northampton Town's matches and 44% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Northampton Town and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Northampton Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.