Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin: match statistics
Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Noteć Czarnków played against Bałtyk Koszalin in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on October 17, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Noteć Czarnków has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bałtyk Koszalin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Noteć Czarnków scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.33. Bałtyk Koszalin scores 1.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Noteć Czarnków's games and 67% of Bałtyk Koszalin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Noteć Czarnków has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.31 per game. Noteć Czarnków takes 10.8 shots per game, while Bałtyk Koszalin takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Noteć Czarnków leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Bałtyk Koszalin leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Noteć Czarnków's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Bałtyk Koszalin, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 3.61 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Noteć Czarnków have won 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 0.8, while Bałtyk Koszalin have won 40% of their away fixtures, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The hosts create slightly better chances at home, with an average xG of 1.61 compared with the visitors’ 1.34 away from home, and also register more shots on target: 6.67 versus 5 per match. However, Noteć’s advantage is tempered by the fact that they have failed to score in 40% of their home matches, whereas Bałtyk have found the net in every away fixture. The visitors also have a slightly better record over their last five league matches, picking up 7 points compared with the hosts’ 5. Despite these signs of a closely contested game, Noteć’s greater effectiveness at home and lower average number of goals conceded point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 57% of Noteć Czarnków’s matches and 80% of Bałtyk Koszalin’s, compared with a league average of 69%, pointing towards both teams finding the net. Bałtyk score an average of 1.6 goals per match and have scored in every match so far, while Noteć concede an average of 1.43. The hosts score an average of 1.14 goals, but the visitors’ defense allows opponents chances worth 1.94 xG per match, giving Noteć a good basis to score as well. In their last five matches, BTTS landed in 80% of Bałtyk’s games, but in only 40% of Noteć’s, so the BTTS - Yes signal is clear, though not without risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: at least two goals were scored in 100% of Noteć Czarnków’s matches and 80% of Bałtyk Koszalin’s matches. The visitors average 1.6 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.43, increasing the likelihood that Bałtyk will make a significant contribution to the scoreline. Noteć average 1.14 goals, but Bałtyk allow opponents chances worth 1.94 xG per match, so a goal from the hosts is also a realistic possibility. Although the expected total is 2.85 goals, Over 2.5 landed in only 43% of Noteć’s matches and 60% of Bałtyk’s; therefore, the 1.5 line offers a clearer signal than the higher threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Noteć were level at the break in 5 of 7 matches, while Bałtyk did so in 3 of 5. The home side did not lead at half-time in any of those 7 matches and scored an average of just 0.14 goals in the first half, although the visitors averaged 1.0 goal during that period, so an early lead for them also remains a realistic possibility. Over the full match, Bałtyk hold the advantage, averaging 1.6 goals scored compared with Noteć’s 1.14, and winning 40% of their matches compared with 29%. An away win after a draw at half-time is therefore the strongest single scenario, but uncertainty is increased by the fact that Noteć average 1.0 goal after the break, while Bałtyk average 0.6.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Noteć Czarnków | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bałtyk Koszalin is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.4 pts / game - Bałtyk Koszalin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.58 goals / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.33 goals / game - Bałtyk Koszalin
Noteć Czarnków scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Bałtyk Koszalin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).
Bałtyk Koszalin scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
Over / Under - Bałtyk Koszalin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Noteć Czarnków is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków · 1.17 pts / game - Bałtyk Koszalin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bałtyk Koszalin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Noteć Czarnków
Bałtyk Koszalin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Noteć Czarnków | Liga | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.92 | 3.61 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 17% | • 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 80% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 0:3 Bałtyk Koszalin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.58 goals per game on average and Bałtyk Koszalin 1.33. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 67% of Bałtyk Koszalin's.
What form are Noteć Czarnków and Bałtyk Koszalin in?
Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bałtyk Koszalin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.